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MSNBC keeps talking about (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP
About 4 or 5 days old Doctor Jack Oct 2016 #1
That's what I thought. triron Oct 2016 #3
LOL semby2 Oct 2016 #2
Poll from Monday Thrill Oct 2016 #4
Don't chase individual polls. The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2016 #5
Not according to this!!! RKP5637 Oct 2016 #6
It is recent. Yonnie3 Oct 2016 #7
A few days ago RandySF Oct 2016 #8
Latest Florida Polls CajunBlazer Oct 2016 #9
The Bloomberg poll was done by Selzer & Company Yonnie3 Oct 2016 #10
Cool! Thanks. I should have dug a little deeper. CajunBlazer Oct 2016 #11
You are welcome. Yonnie3 Oct 2016 #12

Thrill

(19,178 posts)
4. Poll from Monday
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 04:56 PM
Oct 2016

They keep talking about that one poll, and ignore the rest. Clear bias. The only good poll for Trump and all the cable networks have talked about it all week

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,584 posts)
5. Don't chase individual polls.
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 04:57 PM
Oct 2016
Don’t be like journalists who run off after the most extreme report – that is ridiculous. The only honest thing to do is to take a median or average of all the polls you can get your hands on. Right now, the collected wisdom of all the poll is that Hillary Clinton is ahead by a median of 6 percentage points nationally. Not 4 points, and not 8 points. Her lead is 6.0 +/- 0.9 % (n=12 polls over the period October 20-26, median +/- estimated one-sigma standard error).


http://election.princeton.edu/2016/10/27/why-do-the-polls-seem-so-variable-this-week/

Yonnie3

(17,420 posts)
7. It is recent.
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 04:58 PM
Oct 2016

Four way race, polling 10/21 - 10/24 of 953 Likely Voters 3.2 is the margin of error with Trump +2, the same poll with a two way race has Trump +1.

You can see recent Florida polls at http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
9. Latest Florida Polls
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 05:21 PM
Oct 2016

Here you go. These are the latest Florida polls from RealPolitics.com: Note that on the second line under each poll results I have added information on each poll from fivethirtyeight.com, Nate Silver site - providing first the weighting he gives to the poll in his calculations and then the poll results corrected for known biases.

RCP Average 10/20-10/27 Clinton 44.7 Trump 44.3 Clinton +0.4

Emerson 10/26-10/27 Clinton 46 Trump 45 Clinton +1
Medium Clinton+3

Dixie Strategies 10/25-10/26 Clinton 42 Trump 46 Trump +4
High Trump +3

Bloomberg 10/21-10/24 Clinton 43 Trump 45 Trump +2
(not listed - usually means that poll is useless for statistical purposes)

Univ. of North Florida 10/20-10/25 Clinton43 Trump 39 Clinton +4
Medium Clinton +3

Bay News 9/SurveyUSA 10/20-10/24 Clinto n 48 Trump 45 Clinton +3
High Clinton +3

Nate Silver currently Clinton with 2.2% lead in his weigted combination of polls and give her a 65% chance of winning Florida.

Here are the links to the two web pages;

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html

I have a question for you - why do you continue to watch MSNBC?

Yonnie3

(17,420 posts)
10. The Bloomberg poll was done by Selzer & Company
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 05:31 PM
Oct 2016

fivethirtyeight.com

Oct. 21-24 Selzer & Company gives them an A+ leaves it at Trump +2

The Bloomberg article linked by real clear says it was done by Selzer.

Yonnie3

(17,420 posts)
12. You are welcome.
Sat Oct 29, 2016, 07:06 PM
Oct 2016

I am a bit obsessed with this stuff, polling, statistics, demographics, etc. I am not concerned much about individual polls.

I had looked at 538 first, so I just HAD to find out details of the missing "Bloomberg" poll.

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