2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTrump Is Coming Back in Polls Because Too Many People Are Afraid To Take a Stand
Here is Trump just freely lying and pushing conspiracy theory after conspiracy theory:
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/29/politics/donald-trump-fbi-doj-corruption-james-comey-hillary-clinton-emails/index.html
In the closing weeks, the media has once again taken to giving Trump softball interviews, including this one by Mark Halperin who himself chastised other journalists for refusing to press Trump on his failure to disclose his tax returns:
http://mediamatters.org/blog/2016/10/28/mark-halperin-s-donald-trump-interview-even-fails-mark-halperin-test/214179
Finally, putting party over country, the GOP has stood by even as Trump has cozied up to Russia even when they themselves have said that Russia has taken an active role in trying to influence the election.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/mike-mccaul-trump-russia-hacks-230286
This is how we descend into facism. When people are afraid and intimidated to do what is right.
DonCoquixote
(13,615 posts)There is a line that fits: "this is how democracy ends, to thunderous applause!"
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)a close election. Yawn
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)getagrip_already
(14,249 posts)I'm sure there are some instant internet polls, but those are hardly scientific. They are like the polls Trump quotes after the debates.
You need to wait a couple of more days to see if there is an effect.
Also, look back at past elections. Polls always converge towards election day, and always near unity.
Why? Pollsters intentionally adjust them to do that. They don't want to be an outlier when people look back and rate pollsters. So they figure most elections end close, so they just target a winner by 2-3 points, just inside the margin of error.
Internal campaign data doesn't do that. Look to the campaign data, not the public. You won't be shown it directly, so you have to read tea leaves.