New FL poll will be announced on Lawrence at 10

[vdogg]

https://mobile.twitter.com/tbonier/status/793602726454263808

This should look good for us since he's already hinted at higher Hispanic turnout.

[vadermike]

2. Ya

He said in the past it was good poll for team blue which means Nate will make it go down cause that's what Nate does lol

[Dawson Leery]

4. and Clickbait loser Nate Silver will downgrade this poll to

fit the propaganda......I mean narrative that the race is 50/50.

[Ace Rothstein]

5. Silver doesn't adjust polls just for the hell of it.

He has a model that he plugs all the polls into. If what comes out isn't to your liking that isn't his fault.

[Adrahil]

6. :-/

Silver is pretty liberal really, and he doesn't toss any data. I admit his model sometimes confuses me, but I think he is an honest broker.

We must not allow ourselves to be ruled by confirmation bias.

[vdogg]

11. The things he posts on his Twitter feed are obviously designed to drive traffic to his site.

At the end of the day, yes he is liberal. That said, he has a tendency to to trump up outlier polls and wacky scenarios that give liberals heart burn because he knows we'll click. He has a business to run afterall...

[Adrahil]

13. Well, OF COURSE he wants site traffic....

he's running a business.

But I generally think he asks the right questions. And he won't say what we want to hear, just because he wants to hear it too.

Harry Enten, also from 538, tends to be a bit more aggressive than Silver.

[MadBadger]

8. He has the race 75-25 for Hillary, so what are you talking about?

[obamanut2012]

9. 71-29

Dropped it five points today.

[MyNameIsKhan]

7. This is not a poll but real analysis of early votes scientifically

Tom Bonier from Targetsmart will be there...

He is going to match early votes to actual voter rolls and tell the projections.

I would say it will +1.5 to 2...

The margin with my little analysis is coming to be between 100k and 200k votes.

[Farmgirl1961]

10. I am not going to even try to guess… I'll just wait and see!

Fingers and hands and toes and legs and every body part crossed hoping that the numbers look GOOD!

[misterhighwasted]

14. Well Benchmark has HRC up by 3.2 /FL tonight. Soooo

http://benchmark.shareblue.com/florida/

The county pic at link is definately showing more blue than last week.
Good movement to Blue in FL , whether this is LD's news tonight or not.

[Glimmer of Hope]

15. Woo hoo! Eight point spread!!

[Glimmer of Hope]

16. 28% early GOP voters for Hillary!!!

Holy cow.

[vdogg]

17. If that's accurate, Florida is blue.

Not even light blue. I'm talking deep, luscious, azure, velvety shades of blue.