#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 11TH day. Dems lead by > 31,000 EV, 43% to 37%

[ffr]

10:15 PM PST Hillary For America is about even today with yesterday for the democratic Nevada firewall. The SoS PDF is off by 1 vote still, a calculation error probably, but nobody there has caught it.


Washoe County Dems lost the north by 395 EV, while Clark won by 2,167. As of this moment, democrats have a net lead of ~31,469 EV after 11 days of early voting, but that's before all other red counties report in to the SoS.

No other news source has these numbers. When the SoS reports statewide figures tomorrow, the total EV lead should be close to what is listed in the title.

Democratic GOTV surges FORWARD TOGETHER.

Statewide EV (ballots & absentee)
Total: 550,971
Dems: 222,462
Reps: 190,993
Other: 104,861

Percentages
Dems: 42.9%
Reps: 36.8%
Other: 20.2%

Nevada SoS PDF <here>
Washoe County & Clark County elections results also included.


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[piechartking]

1. Bill and Hill are going to be out there later this week to help with GOTV

According to Jon Ralston, the Twitter-unverified Desert Oracle, Dems need to build up a 60k+ firewall in Clark County by the end of Early Voting to pretty much put it away in NV.

And if we put away NV, all we have to do is protect PA, MI, WI, CO, NM, and VA to win. (We seem to be ahead in all of them!)

[Awsi Dooger]

3. I prefer 70k but 60k is probably enough

70k would help Cortez-Mastro in the senate race.

[Awsi Dooger]

2. Not bad...Clark County net now +50,000

Need somewhere between 15-20 thousand additional net the next three days.

Hillary campaigns in Las Vegas tomorrow. That should boost early voting through close on Friday.

Difficult to make up ground in Nevada if Clark County participates heavily. Simply not enough numbers elsewhere.

[MyNameIsKhan]

4. Well NV has about 1Mil voters to 0.1 percent can make a difference

But I would love to have HRC going in election day with 7 points lead... Tomorrow is huge day when unions are going to early vote, I am hopeful by end we will be 7+ in NV EV.... which is a healthy margin to win NV by 5 points on election day...

NV Politics is super complex ... all union and organized labor based... you need to ask Harry Reid for what is exact status...

[Awsi Dooger]

6. Harry Reid had two senate races decided by 600 votes or less

Losing to Laxalt as a youngster then defeating Ensign. I remember the later very well...sweating the recount for days. That was a couple of years before Bush/Gore.

Nevada may be complex in terms of organization but not in projection. It's fairly easy to assign percentages to various areas and demographics. There were a few of us commenting on it on a now-gone liberal blog called Las Vegas Gleaner about a decade ago. We nailed mostly everything to a point or so. Likewise with Jon Ralston recently.

[ffr]

7. I get 47,980 through today for Clark County: ballots and absentee (NV SoS)

Clark County
Total: 352,498
Dems: 163,815
Reps: 115,835
Other: 72,849

Dems lead from Reps: 47,980.

At the rate we're adding, which is about 2,000+ per day, the Dem lead will be ~54,000. Now that may be misleading as Florida EV polling data coming out tomorrow may enhance. The reason being, that the "other voters last year EV'ed 85,000 TOTAL! As of today, they're at 104,861. Based on how Latinos registered both republican and NP this year, that would help explain the lower Dem total lead up to this point.

But no matter what, guess what? We're still at peddle-to-the-metal. HRC's GOTV effort here doesn't pay much attention to the distractions. It's about meeting your goals. Every day, every door, every phone number, every opportunity to talk to a voter.

We'll know for sure after the polls close and the numbers start pouring in.

[triron]

5. With large hispanic population

I'm now betting there is significant crossover to HRC from republicans.

[SunSeeker]

8. K & R

[Divine Discontent]

9. Excellent news!!! :)