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ffr

(22,665 posts)
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 03:51 AM Nov 2016

By the end of Tuesday, close to half of all Nevadans who will cast ballots probably will have voted.

UPDATED, 11/1/16, 1:15 PM: The Democrats are ahead right at registration now -- 6 percent statewide. 31,000 votes. Very close to 2012 numbers. The GOP has a half a percent turnout advantage statewide -- it was 1.1 percent by the end of early/mail voting in 2012.

511,000 people have voted. That's 35 percent.

In 2012, 418,000 Nevadans had voted, or about 33 percent.

In 2012, 69 percent of all votes were cast before Election Day -- 61 percent early and 8 percent by mail. Total turnout was 81 percent.

If turnout is 81 percent again, that's just under 1.2 million voters. And that means we are at 43 percent of total turnout already if it's 81 percent again. Let's say it gets as high as 85 percent (seems unlikely), that still means 40 percent-plus is in.

By the end of Tuesday, close to half of all Nevadans who will cast ballots probably will have voted.

That's why these raw ballot leads are so important. There may not be enough votes left by next Tuesday to overcome deficits up and down the ballot, no matter how many Republicans turn out. The GOP, as always, counts on Election Day to bridge the gap in races they have managed to keep close during early/mail voting. - Jon Ralston - KTVN 13 Las Vegas

Keep on keepin on for HFA. Getting voter turnout. Only way to lose is if we stop what we're doing.

We are not going to stop what we're doing.
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