NC Early Voting Numbers

[vdogg]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/793933545916039168
Trump is toast if these numbers hold, and it won’t be close. This is landslide territory.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/793929734287724544

[GWC58]

1. On Monday I heard

Charlie Cook say the numbers hadn't changed all that much.

[vdogg]

2. He was referring to the electoral vote total.

[Renew Deal]

3. That's just people that didn't vote early in 2012

What would be interesting is all 2016 voters

[Adrahil]

7. True, but.....

If we assume that 2012 voters pretty much vote according to their 2012 vote, this means trouble for Trump.

[triron]

4. Very encouraging news.

[wishstar]

5. Nate Cohn's NYTimes update gives Hillary 49.1 to Trump 43.2 (over 2 mill already voted-nearly half)

He says no significant change expected from his previous numbers. He has factored in lower percentage of AA voters turning out than in 2012 and fact that more registered Dems vote Rep than vice versa

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html

[DemocraticSocialist8]

6. Trump would have to overperform incredibly on election day to pull out a NC victory

It's not impossible, so we don't need false hope. It'll be hard for him to pull out a NC victory though. Too many people voting to oust Pat McCrory.

[LisaL]

8. Those who haven't voted in 2012 might be considered "unlikely voters" when polled.

I wonder how many are there?

[shrike]

9. I overheard two African-American gentlemen talking today. The one man's son works for the DNC in NC

GOTV efforts. They're working very, very hard, he said. I don't normally butt into other people's conversations, but I turned around and told him to tell his son I appreciate his efforts so very much. He seemed to appreciate it.

[book_worm]

10. Excellent news