2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts) Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:13 AM Nov 2016

BREAKING& CLINTON LEAD GROWS FOUR POINTS IN THREE DAYS IN ABC WAPO TRACKER**

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******BREAKING&****** CLINTON LEAD GROWS FOUR POINTS IN THREE DAYS IN ABC WAPO TRACKER****** (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 OP

ComeyGate has passed. DCBob Nov 2016 #1

Hmm...Bout time for another Comey letter. vdogg Nov 2016 #2

Gaining in ABC/WaPo, back to pre-Comeygate levels in Reuters/Ipsos… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #3

Down 2%!!! Adrahil Nov 2016 #4

It. Was never "down", people conveniently forget the margin of error Foggyhill Nov 2016 #5

Remember, their LV model changed drastically… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #6

Even better news considering their earlier model had her lead much greater wishstar Nov 2016 #7

Please. Enough with this "***BREAKING***" crap. TheCowsCameHome Nov 2016 #8

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

1. ComeyGate has passed.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:15 AM

Nov 2016

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

2. Hmm...Bout time for another Comey letter.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:15 AM

Nov 2016

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

3. Gaining in ABC/WaPo, back to pre-Comeygate levels in Reuters/Ipsos…

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:20 AM

Nov 2016

Let's see how far Nate Silver drops our win percentage because of them.

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

4. Down 2%!!!

Reply to regnaD kciN (Reply #3)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:22 AM

Nov 2016

I love 538, but it sure feels like that sometimes!

Foggyhill

(1,060 posts)

5. It. Was never "down", people conveniently forget the margin of error

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:23 AM

Nov 2016

On single polls and
The likely voter model influencing sampling and snalysis

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

6. Remember, their LV model changed drastically…

Reply to Foggyhill (Reply #5)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:28 AM

Nov 2016

…between last week (C+12) and this week (started with T+1). If we were still using the old model, or had always been using the new, who knows what the trendline might be?

wishstar

(5,268 posts)

7. Even better news considering their earlier model had her lead much greater

Reply to regnaD kciN (Reply #6)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:35 AM

Nov 2016

Upward trend right now is very important

TheCowsCameHome

(40,167 posts)

8. Please. Enough with this "***BREAKING***" crap.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 07:47 AM

Nov 2016

Wow. Talk about annoying headlines, over and over and over......

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