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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRemember when we despaired because Clinton dropped...
... 3% in 3 days? Well, she's up by 3 points since 11:30 last night at 538. And that's without the PPP polls that someone posted about.
I've figured out that I have another reason to watch 538. It has bigger changes faster. More pellets every time I push the lever.
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Remember when we despaired because Clinton dropped... (Original Post)
LAS14
Nov 2016
OP
I use it to find state polls ...his model is faulty...not useful for anything else.
Demsrule86
Nov 2016
#4
Wounded Bear
(58,647 posts)1. LOL at the Pavlovian response....
keep pushing that lever!
Johnny2X2X
(19,038 posts)2. Silver has a program that spits out numbers
He inputs polls, and it outputs a %. Nate is a slave to his model and he's not going to change it one bit. His model trended down for Hillary for a week and now it's reversed itself. Has zero to do with Nate's opinion and I think he shouldn't be defending it at all because he seems to be emotionally attached to it now.
It's a model, none are perfect, but you can't just change them mid election season or people will accuse you of bias.
Kber
(5,043 posts)3. Nom! Pellets!
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)4. I use it to find state polls ...his model is faulty...not useful for anything else.