Latino Turnout Surges in Early Voting

[applegrove]

Latino Turnout Surges in Early Voting

By Eric Levitz at NY Magazine

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/11/latino-turnout-surges-in-early-voting.html

"SNIP.............


Still, there are a couple of reasons to think the race isn’t as close as it appears to be. For one thing, none of the forecasting models account for the fact that Trump has put fewer resources into voter-turnout operations than any major-party nominee in recent memory, while Clinton has the best George Soros and Tom Steyer can buy.

For another, Latino voters are chronically underpolled, due, in part, to the challenges of reaching American citizens who are primarily Spanish speaking. Unexpectedly high Hispanic turnout, particularly in western states, has spurred a number of electoral upsets in recent years, among them Harry Reid’s surprise victory in Nevada in 2010.

And early-voting totals suggest that this flaw in public polling could prove more relevant this year than ever before. Earlier this year, news of a spike in Hispanic voter registration bubbled up into the headlines. The early returns from swing states seem to validate those reports. Per the Washington Post:

In Arizona, Latinos represented 13.2 percent of all early voters as of Tuesday, up from 11 percent at the same point in 2012 and 8.1 percent in 2008, according to Catalist, a firm that works with Democrats and progressive groups.


...............SNIP"

[NoGoodNamesLeft]

1. I still think Latinos in Texas are going to turn Texas blue

They make up 28% of the voting population and turnout is higher than ever. Combine that with moderate Republicans and women who can't stomach Trump, Democrats tripping over themselves to try to stop Trump and you may just have a perfect storm to turn that Lone Star blue.

[applegrove]

2. That would be stellar!