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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum37 million people have already voted — here's what the data say
by Michelle Mark at Business Insiderhttp://www.businessinsider.com/early-voting-results-for-presidential-election-2016-2016-11
"SNIP...........
With just four days to go until Election Day, early voting data show that Hillary Clinton may have an advantage in the battleground state of Nevada, while Donald Trump carries more of an edge in Iowa.
States like Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio, on the other hand, are shaping up to be much tighter races.
At least 37 million people have already cast ballots, either in person or by mail, as of mid-day Friday, according to the US Elections Project, which is updated multiple times per day and run by University of Florida professor Michael McDonald.
A wave of early voting by Latinos is boosting expectations that Clinton will have a strong showing in states such as Arizona, Florida, and Nevada, the Washington Post reported on Thursday.
.............SNIP"
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37 million people have already voted — here's what the data say (Original Post)
applegrove
Nov 2016
OP
applegrove
(118,622 posts)1. Latino votes 'off the charts' in Florida
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)3. No, its a tie and Hillary is very worried
I know its true, Andrea Mitchell told me so
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,500 posts)5. That fucking garden gnome needs to retire..... yesterday. nt
RAFisher
(466 posts)4. Steve Schale points out how Hispanic is self reported and is actually under reported in the stats
First, through Wednesday, 170,000 more Hispanics had voted early (or VBM) in 2016 than voted early or by VBM in the entire 2012 cycle. And keep in mind, because Hispanic is a self-identifying marker, studies have found that the real Hispanic vote is larger than the registration. So while Hispanics might make up 14.2% of the voters who have voted so far, in reality, the number is larger.
http://steveschale.com/blog/2016/11/4/it-is-friday-somewhere-and-that-somewhere-is-2016-election.html
Then you have cases like my girlfriend who is of Brazilian decent. She's Latino but not Hispanic. So tracking non-Hispanic Latinos is harder to find in the statistics.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)2. wow... more people voting = Great for America...good for dems