I don't play poker, but...

[7worldtrade]

I believe in statistics. The senior HP and RCP polling editors, and David plouffe, and Dan Pfeffer have all said or implied that H us up, and the rest is noise. I am volunteering the next several days to GOTV! CNN and MSNBC need eyeballs on the screen. Stop watching cable news and volunteer!!! You will feel much better. Sitting in a room watching tv or refreshing websites is called OCD. H is going to win, and if you volunteer she will win even bigger and bring the senate with her. And 538 is owned by ESPN.

[JHan]

1. Maybe the horse race works in our favor..

Will get folks who thought it was in the bag and apathetic to go out and vote

[Dem2]

2. "Sitting in a room watching tv or refreshing websites is called OCD"

and???

[cilla4progress]

3. Deal me

IN!

[7worldtrade]

6. It's a paralyzingly disorder

That makes people live in irrational fear and not take action.

[PoliticAverse]

4. The problem is that polling isn't just "statistics", it's about predicting who'll actually show up

to vote. And that falls into the "guesstimate" category, not science.

[Wounded Bear]

5. Poker is statistics....

Yes, it's about knowing what facts you know and developing probabilities going forward. That's what polling does. It gathers facts and calculates probabilities of outcomes. The statistical part of it involves rules of weighing the facts you collect and deciding how that affects your prediction.

[Jim__]

7. Poker is about people.

Not statistics. Over the course of a night, essentially everyone gets the same hands to play.