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vdogg

(1,384 posts)
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:19 PM Nov 2016

CNN is finally admitting their poll of NV may be off

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/05/politics/nevada-early-vote-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/index.html

Overall, Democrats have built a lead of more than 72,000 votes there -- 13.7 points ahead of Republicans, and slightly larger than Obama's 2012 edge.
It's no surprise Democrats are ahead there, but the gap is more than double what Republicans say they need it to be. A GOP official said Trump could afford to lose Clark County by 6 points and still carry the state.
Democrats also cast more ballots in Washoe County -- Nevada's second biggest, the home of Reno, and historically a swing region that Republicans believed they would win in this election cycle.
Statewide, Democrats have an edge of 46,000 votes, or 6 points. That's roughly the same as Obama's 48,000-vote lead after early voting in 2012 -- which grew when more Democrats than Republicans turned out on Election Day.
Nevada could be 2016's best test of polls against early voting data. A CNN/ORC poll out this week found Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton, 49% to 43%.
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CNN is finally admitting their poll of NV may be off (Original Post) vdogg Nov 2016 OP
#bluewave ffr Nov 2016 #1

ffr

(22,669 posts)
1. #bluewave
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:33 PM
Nov 2016

For all of last night's numbers and more political analysis on the Clark County EV results (links within):

#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 14TH/Final day. Dems lead by > 46,000 EV, 42% to 36%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512586559

And an observation: News blackout of the bigger story this election up north.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512587183#post58

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