I am Seriously Worried We Might Lose Michigan

[Doctor Jack]

Back on October 3rd, we were ahead by 10 points but now the lead is cut to just 4 points in the averages. There has been some back and forth in Michigan during the election but we have also head a pretty good lead but now it is cut to its lowest point all year. Something is going very wrong for us in Michigan. Why the sudden drop off in a once solid blue state? Why do the republicans suddenly have so much appeal there? Can this really be happening?







I am seriously worried that Romney might actually take Michigan in a squeaker on election day.


Oh, I'm sorry, I accidently posted old poll averages from RCP from 2012 to make a point. Silly me.

[vadermike]

1. Lol

Lol ! HRC campaign isn't taking any chances is all they are doing ! GOTV !!

[writes3000]

2. OOPS! I missed the message completely. Bravo, DJ!

Last edited Sun Nov 6, 2016, 12:25 AM - Edit history (1)

[AmericanMan1958]

3. I believe we will take Michigan.. BUT

I have been working the GOTV for last 4 weekends
Not sure what kind of secret bullshit is going on in the Trump campaign.
Thing changed here around Tuesday of this week.
First, I started noticing some bumper stickers. (on back windows, for easy removal)
Then I ran into a few areas that were plastered with Trump signs, I mean Plastered.
Some neighborhoods had them around like No Trespassing signs.
My home district isn't bad. But the Harrison Twp area is terrible.
The Lake St. Clair Shore front is really bad. Very high rent district.
Glad we called in the heavy hitters.
GOTV has always been fun for me, this year is different, much different, people are guarded, almost frightened to speak.
This not the America I want.
But I will continue work hard till the last vote is cast.

[Dem2]

7. It's like that in NH too

I think somebody read a stat saying that each sign is worth a certain % of a vote, so the Trumpites think more signs = more votes.



I saw a couple putting down like 100 signs in a row - I laughed - these people are fanatics.

[AmericanMan1958]

13. Like I said

Will be back out tomorrow, do two routes
5 hours of phone bank Monday
and all day Tuesday.
I still think we got the lead, not about to back off now!

[manicraven]

24. Awesome! Thank you!!!

[wisteria]

30. I am not in Michigan, but where I live, I can one up you on the Trump signs.

I have seen houses in my area of PA with Trump flags. Yes, huge Trump flags. I think they are trying to reach the very low info voter by msking them think Trump is very popular.

[CentralMass]

4. We will know in 3 days.

[Dem2]

5. Jesus man, relax

We're all stressed, but Michigan isn't the only state and this happens every cycle with a state here and a state there.

[idziak4ever1234]

6. If African Americans in Detroit show uo to vote, Michigan is in the bag...

Sometimes they do not make a strong showing.

[AmericanMan1958]

19. No disrespect.. But

The AA"s are bust there asses around here.
Speaking on be half of us 58 year old white males
We need to get our head out of our asses.
If Trump wins Michigan and I don't think he will.
It is us WHITE MALES that gave him the win.
No one to blame but us.
Just my opinion for what it is worth.

[brush]

27. Like when? AA showed up for Obama big time. Where was a certain . . .

demographic in 2010 and 2014 who didn't get their issues instantly fixed?

[doc03]

8. I am assuming this is sarcasm since both charts are identical

in 2012 it has Obama leading by 4 points and actually gets +9.5. Then 2016 it has Hillary leading by 4 points same as 2012.

[Dem2]

10. I was just reconsidering that myself

I think I missed the ques.

[Doctor Jack]

12. Sarcasm yes but she is up by 5 there

I see a lot of posts and news stories about sudden concern in michigan but we hear this shit every 4 years. However, we forget quickly

[aaaaaa5a]

9. Here is the modern history of Michigan

in Presidential races:

1992-Clinton
1996-Clinton
2000-Gore
2004-Kerry
2008-Obama
2012-Obama

It has been 28 years (1988) since Michigan has gone GOP. Do we seriously think Trump will be the one to break this string?

Seriously?

[MyNameIsKhan]

14. Jeez man, just look at Wake county polls in past 4 general elections, if HRC looses here, we are

dead man walking now... SHE IS NOT GOING TO LOOSE MI, WI, PA, NH, NV, NC, FL, OH...

they are in the order.

[GulfCoast66]

15. yeah, well, you know,

That is like you opinion, man.

If he wins, he wins and the country suffers horribly.

But unless the dumbass starts a nuclear war, we will recover. Of course, he may very start a nuclear war!

[manicraven]

25. Plus, he is dangerous for our planet!

The idiot wants to ramp up coal production and appoint climate deniers, etc. He IS dangerous.

[still_one]

16. Essentially everyone knows who they are going to vote for now. That is not going to

change.

I believe Michigan does not have early voting, so the most important thing for Michigan is to GOTV on election day

Regardless, I appreciate your message Jack, it is a point worth putting emphasis on


Thanks

[Eggy]

18. GOTV is crucial

I've stopped dwelling on the odds at this point. There are so many things that can go wrong, which is why we have to do everything possible to make sure it goes right. Sign up for a shift at your local campaign office if you can.

[Blue Idaho]

21. Well played sir, well played indeed.

[andym]

22. You should probably bold the Romney line so that everyone gets your post.

Especially those that don't read it carefully.

[Garrett78]

31. Reading comprehension does seem to be a lagging skill.

And why must we have 10 threads about the same exact story or poll?

[ham_actor]

23. Yep

As I recall many Democrats were worried about Michigan back in 2012 and I think the msm played into that worry with reports on how the race had tightened up in that state which was after all Mitt Romney's home state where his father had been a very popular Governor.

[brush]

26. Didn't you post this a few days back, to no avail then either?

[Awsi Dooger]

32. I'm annoyed we seemingly took a few states for granted

While stabbing at red states that are out of reach, but I think we'll get away with it.

When we made those aggressive moves in Arizona and elsewhere it was as if we assumed normalcy for the remainder. You can't assume normalcy. Once Comey arrived, those aggressive states were gone and suddenly the complacency in states like Michigan, Colorado, New Hampshire and Virginia made this race tighter than warranted.