Trump leading Hillary +1 in latest IBD/TIPP national poll. T taking independents by + 9

[factfinder_77]

http://www.investors.com/politics/donald-trump-leads-hillary-clinton-with-more-states-in-play-ibdtipp-poll/



Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding.

Trump needs to win swing voters by a wide margin to sweep to victory. In the latest IBD/TIPP poll, he leads independents by 9 points, 40%-31%.

Notably, Johnson gets 12% of this key group and Stein 5%. Will independents actually pull the lever for third-party candidates, especially in tossup states where the outcome is in doubt?

Meanwhile, Trump leads among men 50%-38%, while Clinton leads among women, 48%-38%. She dominates with single women, 59%-25%, but married women favor Trump, 49%-38%.

[book_worm]

1. Oh you again.

[factfinder_77]

7. Really thats a low ball, IBD/TIPP is a A rated poll firm

[book_worm]

10. Most of your posts are negative against the Dems

and lots of people recognize that on DU.

[tarheelsunc]

16. Who cares what happened 12 years ago?

They're obviously not keeping up with the changing electorate. 2012 wasn't a great year for them, and 2016 will not be either.

[obamanut2012]

22. lolz

[sunonmars]

2. This is and always has been a garbage poll.

[uawchild]

17. It's a crappy online poll, no?

Like online polls are ever accurate.

[beachbumbob]

4. Trumped up headline...no surge for trump...and this poll has been

Margin of error land the entire time....

[Iliyah]

5. Thats a surge? Where are the people of color?

As Pres O's polling team recently said, focus on state polling not national polling and remain positive.

[book_worm]

6. What do you think of this Columbus Dispatch poll that has HRC leading Trump in Ohio

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512591433

Must cause you some distress.

[Foggyhill]

11. Total bullshit, the margin of error for dub groups is huge

The whole hesdline and
Overinterpretstion of data
of this thing
Seems
To point to agenda polling data for poll grading, Nate seemingly looks st end result and not methodologies which makes his assessments highly suspect

This poll is so out of whack compared to all other polls which doesn't help it

[factfinder_77]

18. Final Morning Consult/Political Poll: HRC: 45% Trump: 42%: Nearly identical with this one.

is Final Morning Consult/Political Poll horse shit also:

[RBInMaine]

19. They report this as a steady poll and see no reason for it to change. HCR wins.

[regnaD kciN]

28. C+3 and T+1 "nearly identical"…?

LOL…try telling that to the World Champion Cleveland Indians.



Seriously, if your poll had shown Clinton up by three, would you have started a thread about it? Didn't think so.

[tarheelsunc]

13. LOL. A 1 point change over the course of 4 days in a flawed tracking poll is a "surge" eom

[bravenak]

20. You do know that we use the electoral college to decide who wins, right?

I see the concern never ends. Go search far and wide, maybe you can find a poll that shows Trump running the table; and hurry up and post it as fast as possible. You know how much we just need a pessimism bomb early in the morning.

[obamanut2012]

21. Oh, it's you again

[Fahrenthold451]

29. This poll had Trump gaining a point in the immediate aftermath of Pussygate

And it's been consistently ridiculous otherwise...

http://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/IBD_TIPP_PresidentialElectionPoll_101916_rev.pdf

[Democat]

30. For some reason the DU mods love this poster

And all of his other usernames.

[molova]

36. His survival skills baffle me

To be honest

[Squinch]

32. Irritable Bowel Disease does polls????

[Amishman]

34. I'm pretty sure damn near every poll in a southern state is oversampling trump.

The hispanic vote has handed Hillary the election, and they are not being sampled correctly.