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2016 Postmortem

triron

(21,995 posts) Sun Nov 6, 2016, 07:20 PM Nov 2016

PEC now prediting HRC win by as close as you can get to 100%

Both bayesian and random drift models at >99%!
http://election.princeton.edu/

4 replies

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***PEC now prediting HRC win by as close as you can get to 100%*** (Original Post) triron Nov 2016 OP

Good MFM008 Nov 2016 #1

Yup demosincebirth Nov 2016 #2

Models ham_actor Nov 2016 #4

MFM008

(19,804 posts)

1. Good

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Nov 6, 2016, 07:24 PM

Nov 2016

It's almost over.

demosincebirth

(12,536 posts)

2. Yup

Reply to MFM008 (Reply #1)

Sun Nov 6, 2016, 07:29 PM

Nov 2016

ham_actor

(38 posts)

4. Models

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Nov 6, 2016, 07:50 PM

Nov 2016

Polls and statistical models are much like the saber metrics used in baseball to evaluate players. They can give you much useful information but can't predict what will happen in any particular situation, when a batter faces a pitcher for instance. There are too many variables to be considered and calculated.We'll have to wait and see.

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