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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMovement on 538. NV, FL, and NC light blue on Now Cast.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#nowAnd Ohio very close to flipping back to blue.
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Movement on 538. NV, FL, and NC light blue on Now Cast. (Original Post)
yellowcanine
Nov 2016
OP
I will never trust Silver again. I don't care if the numbers are in favor
helpisontheway
Nov 2016
#9
Look again - goes back and forth, now blue on both Polls Only and Now Cast.
yellowcanine
Nov 2016
#11
grantcart
(53,061 posts)1. But polls and polls only NC & FL still pink
How there is any difference only one day out is a mystery
yellowcanine
(35,693 posts)4. Now Cast best measure imo because election is tomorrow.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)5. Question is with poll tomorrow how can
There be any difference between the two
yellowcanine
(35,693 posts)7. I think Polls Only includes more older polls.
And Polls-Plus includes historical data, which may not be as relevant this close to the election.
LAS14
(13,769 posts)3. This is the direction I like to see on the Monday before the Tuesday.
helpisontheway
(5,004 posts)9. I will never trust Silver again. I don't care if the numbers are in favor
or against us.
obamanut2012
(26,046 posts)10. FL and NC are pink on 538
yellowcanine
(35,693 posts)11. Look again - goes back and forth, now blue on both Polls Only and Now Cast.
yellowcanine
(35,693 posts)13. NV, FL and NC now all light blue on Polls Plus as well.
UTLonghorn
(24 posts)12. Has inched back up to almost 68% this morning
FreeStateDemocrat
(2,654 posts)14. Reversing the trend into a positive direction, big = MOmentum!