********BREAKING FINAL CRYSTAL BALL ********* 322-216

[DemocratSinceBirth]

[still_one]

1. I really hope he is right on the Senate because we really need it

[musicblind]

7. I'm hoping that he's not only right

but that my state dumps Burr as well. I do not like Richard Burr and I can't believe the way he has embraced Trump. I don't get why he is doing better in the polls than Pat McCrory and Hillary Clinton. Weird.

[still_one]

8. I have been donating to Deborah Ross. Just kicked in 25 bucks today to her campaign

and also call banking into NC

What I am hoping for is that the Senate races haven't been adequately factored into the polls since the Comely announcement, and that will move us into the win column

[whatthehey]

2. Can't say that's likely to be wrong by much IMO.

[Martin Eden]

3. It's a national shame for a sociopathic fascist to win ANY states

Nevertheless, his defeat will be good news.

[underpants]

4. Thanks. I couldn't find this earlier.

I just posted Sabato's Twitter tease.

The Senate would be oh so sweet.

[vadermike]

5. Sbato

How close was his prediction in 08 and 12?

[Doctor Jack]

9. Sabato's Stats

2004: Predicted Bush win and was 96% accurate for presidential race (based on electoral votes)

2008: Predicted Obama would win with 364 evs, instead of the actual 365 that he got

2012: Predicted Obama but underestimated him at 290

[kstewart33]

6. Please provide the link.

[Doctor Jack]

10. This is a very important quote from Sabato

Starting in March, we have released a total of 17 Electoral College maps in the Clinton-Trump race. Not even on Clinton’s worst campaign days did we ever have her below 270 electoral votes.

Trump has never even got to the point where he tied the election for a single day, let alone was ever ahead. And that is why I question this claim from 538 that there is so much instability in the polls. The polls have jumped around a bit, sure, but it has always said the same thing: Clinton will win