Trump vs. Clinton: was it all about education levels?

[mainer]

What the regression analysis is telling us, then, is that districts with lots of manufacturing employment aren’t on average shifting their votes to Trump; they just appear to be shifting their votes to Trump because in many cases these districts also have below-average education levels, and these districts absolutely are shifting votes to Trump. In fact, after accounting for the effect of education on vote change, districts with manufacturing employment are shifting less of their votes towards Trump. (I ran a hundred or so permutations of this model, adding and subtracting different covariates. For instance, if education is left out but whiteness and income are included, manufacturing is still positive. I feel pretty confident that education is responsible for the flipped sign on manufacturing.)

http://danielmccormack.net/blog/manufacturing-cant-explain-donald-trumps-win/

[Doreen]

1. I am only high school educated

but I am smart enough to have chosen all by myself to vote for Hillary. I really hate being put into the uneducated group just because I only went through High school. If I see something going on I will read about it, talk about it, and get facts about it before making an opinion about it and to me that is not uneducated but as far as the rest of the country I am. I truly think it is hate levels that ran this election.

[jmg257]

2. He definitely won the uneducated white voters, but didn't do too bad with educated voters either.

As expected, Trump did best among white voters without a college degree, beating Clinton by the enormous margin of 72 percent to 23 percent.

Trump also won among white, non-college women 62 to 34 percent,
and white college-educated men, 54 to 39 percent.

Among white voters, Clinton only won among women with a college degree by a 51 to 45 percent margin.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-exit-polls-how-donald-trump-won-the-us-presidency/