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Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 04:08 AM Dec 2016

Until we can abolish the EC, we should work to make it proportional by total state vote.

This can be done via the iniative process in many states...including many of the current "battleground" states. If we had had this in place in Ohio, Iowa, Michigan, Florida and Pennsylvania, Hillary would be choosing her cabinet as we speak.

The more states it is done in, the more pressure will be created to pass federal legislation or a constitutional amendment making it proportional by overall popular vote in ALL states.

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Until we can abolish the EC, we should work to make it proportional by total state vote. (Original Post) Ken Burch Dec 2016 OP
If that means that Hillary would win alot of California's electoral applegrove Dec 2016 #1
almost half of Iowa and Ohio's as well. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #2
This is much more likely to happen than abolishing EC. jackson Dec 2016 #3
The Compact will be found unconstitutional, unfortunately Grey Lemercier Dec 2016 #6
There are some constitutional scholars that agree with you, most do not etherealtruth Dec 2016 #20
I would lay wager that a RW SCOTUS (if it gets that far) will strike it down Grey Lemercier Dec 2016 #21
I am not an attorney, nor am I a constitutional scholar; however .... etherealtruth Dec 2016 #22
will read it, thanks Grey Lemercier Dec 2016 #23
How would that help? It would still give more electoral votes to low population states. n/t pnwmom Dec 2016 #4
I've seen this plan before, and one thing that I always wondered about was... TrollBuster9090 Dec 2016 #5
At the same time it would mean that rump would have captured a large percentage of libtodeath Dec 2016 #7
I did a rough calculation a week or so ago if the states EV were portioned csziggy Dec 2016 #8
That at least has a result that is fair and in proportion to what the popular vote was. libtodeath Dec 2016 #9
True - but I wonder if the method for determining electoral votes should be altered csziggy Dec 2016 #10
I think you can multiply the size of the EC Ken Burch Dec 2016 #14
Yeah, but then we'd get a chunk of TX, where radius777 Dec 2016 #19
It's a good idea, but getting there is almost impossible. DanTex Dec 2016 #11
Someone already did that analysis philosslayer Dec 2016 #12
The limit on the House of 435 needs to be separated from the EC. Persondem Dec 2016 #13
That would require a constitutional amendment. BzaDem Dec 2016 #16
It might. But the limit of 435 for the HoR was done by legislation, not a constitutional convention Persondem Dec 2016 #17
Oh yes, the size of the house is just a statute. BzaDem Dec 2016 #24
I read somewhere that Trump would have received 56% of the electoral votes if this were universal. BzaDem Dec 2016 #15
problem w/our entire system is blue votes don't matter radius777 Dec 2016 #18
Blue states would split there vote; Red states won't. briv1016 Dec 2016 #25
that is a very bad idea flyingfysh Dec 2016 #26

applegrove

(118,600 posts)
1. If that means that Hillary would win alot of California's electoral
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 04:14 AM
Dec 2016

college votes and almost half of WI Michigan and Pennsylvania's electoral college votes this time around, I'm for that.

 

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)
6. The Compact will be found unconstitutional, unfortunately
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 06:29 AM
Dec 2016

States cannot make interstate binding laws without approval of congress.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
20. There are some constitutional scholars that agree with you, most do not
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 08:00 PM
Dec 2016

Without doubt it would be challenged in court

 

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)
21. I would lay wager that a RW SCOTUS (if it gets that far) will strike it down
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 08:16 PM
Dec 2016

Article I, Section 10 of the US Constitution

Clause 3: Compact Clause

No State shall, without the Consent of Congress, lay any Duty of Tonnage, keep Troops, or Ships of War in time of Peace, enter into any Agreement or Compact with another State, or with a foreign Power, or engage in War, unless actually invaded, or in such imminent Danger as will not admit of delay.

http://online.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/elj.2007.6403




This review argues that Congress itself cannot even approve it, that it will take a constitutional amendment.
Supporters of the Compact argue that this is not true, and that they WILL seek congressional approval (and therefore, I argue, it will die as well, as the Republicans and small states will will never support it)

http://publius.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/09/20/publius.pjt037.full

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
22. I am not an attorney, nor am I a constitutional scholar; however ....
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 08:34 PM
Dec 2016

This should prove an interesting read for you

Why the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact Survives Constitutional Scrutiny Under the Compact Clause


http://digitalcommons.wcl.american.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1043&context=lpb
 

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)
23. will read it, thanks
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 08:55 PM
Dec 2016

It is all irrelevant anyway, as not enough swing states will join it.

The only truly workable solution is to increase the size of the House of Representatives, and thus the EC votes, and fairly distribute them.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2637762

TrollBuster9090

(5,954 posts)
5. I've seen this plan before, and one thing that I always wondered about was...
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 06:12 AM
Dec 2016

Sure, several states could make a legislative pact agreeing to give all of their delegates to whichever candidate won the popular vote. Problem solved without having to amend the Constitution, right?

But what's to stop any of those State governments from holding a last minute midnight session to repeal the legislation if it looks like their favorite candidate isn't winning the popular vote?

libtodeath

(2,888 posts)
7. At the same time it would mean that rump would have captured a large percentage of
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 10:02 AM
Dec 2016

EC votes in New York and California so wonder if the outcome would change much.

csziggy

(34,135 posts)
8. I did a rough calculation a week or so ago if the states EV were portioned
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 10:15 AM
Dec 2016

"If the electoral votes were divided in the same ratio as the votes each candidate receives it would make a tremendous difference. By my rough calculations, that would have given Clinton 279 to Trump's 258 but obviously my math is not quite right, probably thrown off by McMullen's large percentage in Utah the smaller votes for Johnson and Stein in other states."

A major problem is that the way states are given electoral votes now, there aren't enough to reflect the percentages of voters in very tight races or races with a number of third party candidates. For my calculation above, I ignored the third party candidates - when they got 5% or less there was no way to give them an electoral vote.

For example in Utah, with percentages: Trump 45.5%; Clinton 27.5%; McMullin 21.5% - it's hard to divide up their 6 electoral votes. Trump got almost half, but Clinton and McMullin should come close to splitting the remaining votes evenly. There is no way with 6 votes to make it work out properly.

csziggy

(34,135 posts)
10. True - but I wonder if the method for determining electoral votes should be altered
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 10:45 AM
Dec 2016

More votes - at least one per precinct - would bring the results closer to the local level. But that would take a Constitutional amendment and I don't want to get into that morass!

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
14. I think you can multiply the size of the EC
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 05:59 PM
Dec 2016

If you gave each state say, four times the electoral votes it has now(and there would be no cost in this. It's basically just a group of people showing up at the state capitals for one day, casting their votes, and then going out for pizza or cheeseburgers or just going back to work), proportionality would be much easier to achieve.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
19. Yeah, but then we'd get a chunk of TX, where
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 07:30 PM
Dec 2016

Hillary only lost by 9%.

It would probably take a constitutional amendment, but proportional EV's may be the best way to go, as it would force candidates to campaign all across the country, so red states would get alot of love from Dems and blue states from GOP, which would help build the parties in those states, and reduce polarization, where now very blue/red states are basically deserted by the national parties.

Either way, the system needs a change, because as it stands, all both parties do is focus on winning a few swing states. With proportional EV (or popular vote or a combination), winning or losing a close state by a few points wouldn't matter much, so they could then be free to campaign elsewhere.

A hybrid system is probably the best, i.e. proportional EV's, bonus EV's for winning the state, bonus EV's for winning the popular vote.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
11. It's a good idea, but getting there is almost impossible.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 11:45 AM
Dec 2016

The problem is, it would have to be done by all the states at the same time. If one swing state decides to go proportional, suddenly that swing state will lose a lot of electoral sway. Because of instead of (say) 20 electoral votes at stake, there will only be one or two at the margins.

Also, solidly red or blue states aren't going to want to do this because it would mean in effect handing a few electoral votes to the other side. If CA went proportional, that would mean that instead of getting all 55, Dems would only get the majority of them.

Persondem

(1,936 posts)
13. The limit on the House of 435 needs to be separated from the EC.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 12:12 PM
Dec 2016

That is how our system worked until about 100 years ago. There is no reason the EC votes have to match the HoR. If the original wording of the Constitution is followed, the EC would be more proportionally correct.

BzaDem

(11,142 posts)
16. That would require a constitutional amendment.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 06:17 PM
Dec 2016

From Article II:

"Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress..."

Persondem

(1,936 posts)
17. It might. But the limit of 435 for the HoR was done by legislation, not a constitutional convention
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 07:03 PM
Dec 2016

or amendment. This is the way House members were to be allocated ...

" The number of Representatives shall not exceed one for every thirty Thousand, but each State shall have at Least one Representative" from Article 1, Section 2, Clause 3.

That is still in the Constitution. Not sure how the # was fixed at 435 without an amendment or constitutional convention.

So constitutionally, electors should be chosen as 1 per every 30k people. It's fixed at 435 only because of the Reapportionment Act of 1929.

Some links ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apportionment_Act_of_1911

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment

There are some interesting solutions to proportional apportionment including the "Wyoming Rule".

BzaDem

(11,142 posts)
24. Oh yes, the size of the house is just a statute.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 09:40 PM
Dec 2016

I was responding to the idea that we could decouple the EC from the size of the House. We can definitely increase the size of the House, from a constitutional perspective.

BzaDem

(11,142 posts)
15. I read somewhere that Trump would have received 56% of the electoral votes if this were universal.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 06:16 PM
Dec 2016

The problem with the EC is the outsized influence it gives to small states.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
18. problem w/our entire system is blue votes don't matter
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 07:18 PM
Dec 2016

as much as red votes.

Whether its the EC, congress, senate, etc - rural/whiter areas are overrepresented compared to bluer, metro, more densely populated areas.

The senate is the most glaring example. Huge, diverse, wealth producing states like NY and CA get the same two votes in the senate (which decides major national issues) as small, rural, homogenous states.

The way the system was setup by the founders may've made sense 240 years ago, but it certainly doesn't now.

briv1016

(1,570 posts)
25. Blue states would split there vote; Red states won't.
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 10:11 PM
Dec 2016

Welcome to a near permanent Republican White House. No thank-you.

flyingfysh

(1,990 posts)
26. that is a very bad idea
Fri Dec 2, 2016, 10:57 PM
Dec 2016

If you try to do it state by state, it would be stuck partway through the process. The Republicans would get it pushed through in states where they sometimes lose, and would not do it in states (such as in the South) which they always win.

The result: a permanent Republican advantage.

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