Romney's lead in Gallup evaporates. Obama now ahead

[Marzupialis]

3 days ago, Romney led by 5%, in the strange Gallup tracking poll. Obama now leads by 3%. Do not expect RW blogs to report this. link

[former9thward]

1. It is a daily tracking poll.

As is the Rasmussen poll. Obama was ahead in that one and now is down by 1%. Since these are daily polls it means we will have about 360 of them (180 from Gallup and 180 from Rasmussen) from now until election day. They won't man anything until October.

[mvd]

2. They are more useful as we closer

The snapshot polls generally have Obama ahead, and that's even better news.

[Jamaal510]

3. This wasn't what I heard on Alex Witt's show this morning.

She said that Willard leads PBO by 1% in the Gallup poll, and by 6% in the topic regarding who people think has good ideas for the economy.

[Marzupialis]

4. The poll wasn't out until 1pm

Therefore, if you heard it in the morning they must have been talking about yesterday's results.

[Daniel537]

5. I really wouldn't invest too much into any of these polls until after the conventions.

Most people aren't paying much attention to the race right now, and don't know much about who this Romney guy is and what exactly his plan for America is, so its hard to say how many of these people are going to be likely voters. Not to mention the amount of things that could happen from now to then.

[Arkana]

6. It speaks to the volatility of Gallup's polling.

Daily tracking polls are all but useless, especially at this point in the campaign.

[renate]

7. I don't think very many people know how Bain/Romney made money

... by firing people. That's not going to endear him to a lot of voters once they hear about it.

[Mr.Turnip]

8. 1. quick shifts are normal in tracking polls.

2. Romney got a bounce from basically winning the nomination and bounces usually do not last anyway.

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

9. so where's Drudge's siren?

and the rest of the media to freak out about this one, as they did Romney's initial 1-point lead?

[Johnny2X2X]

10. Long road

Don't get caught up in polls right now, it will drive you crazy. Mitt got a nice bounce from winning the nomination, he'll get another bounce when he picks a running mate, but Obama is still clearly in the lead. One thing you can count on is that if 1 poll shows Mitt with any lead the Righties will run stories like, "Can Obama catch Mitt?" I saw this headline this weekend somewhere, even though Obama was ahead in most polls.

Don't spend too much time watching these polls until the Fall, you'll just make yourself miserable. Now the Intrade odds are worth paying attention to IMO as they take into account a lot more than 1 poll and they still have Obama with like a 20 point lead over the Mitt.

[WI_DEM]

11. I wouldn't even pay attention to daily tracking polls until the campaign is in full effect

after the conventions.

[budkin]

12. I'm sure they will be back and forth every week n/t