2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHickenlooper polling under 50% in Colorado
Here are the poll results against four GOP challengers.
http://www.reddit.com/r/ElectionPolls/comments/1r0600/colo_gov_colorado_gov_has_early_lead_for/
Anytime we see an incumbent below the 50% threshold, it can be problematic.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)Fortunately he's still pretty well up on the rest of the assholes in that race.
Hickenlooper will win. The Montana Senate poll we just added though is bad news, but news the DEMS certainly expected. All DEM challengers trail Rep. Daines by far.
otohara
(24,135 posts)go back and forth, back and forth, back and forth....
politicat
(9,808 posts)Hick has pissed off a lot of the Democratic base by supporting fracking, despite his base counties all opposing it. So he's got ground to make up. But neither the base counties nor the swing counties are at all interested in Gov. Tancredo, Gessler or Buck.
Hick could get primaried and lose that way, but the COGOP base primary voters like their candidates rabid and deep in the wings.