2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCan we please cut out all the polling posts?
Every post that Braley's ahead or Crist is behind is irrelevant because the last poll, and likely the next poll will be different. Can't we just stipulate that every key race is within the margin of error, and will be decided entirely on voter turnout next Tuesday? Getting worked up, positively or negatively in the mean time is just a waste of effort.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)brooklynite
(93,851 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(26,272 posts)a kennedy
(29,462 posts)I'm getting to worked up, all I can do is vote, and take others to vote, then just sit back relax and watch on Tuesday. Wanker going down, the Dems keeping control of the senate and Dems taking tons of State houses.
Hippo_Tron
(25,453 posts)Margin of error makes it possible that the trailing candidate to actually be ahead, but the odds are still that the leading candidate is actually ahead.
Give this a read if you want to fully understand it.
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2012/10/one-last-encore-great-statistical-tie-fallacy
DavidDvorkin
(19,404 posts)I appreciate them.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)I want updates every 15 minutes please.
Sam