2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumColorado early ballots are shifting toward democrats with younger voters
But Cohen is saying it might be to late. It's never to late with an election that's 72 hours before voting on Nov.4th Udall has a good ground operation this might be an upset in the making.All the punditry on Sunday was talking like Gardner has already been crowned the next Senator. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/03/upshot/it-may-be-too-late-but-colorado-early-ballots-are-shifting-toward-democrats.html?abt=0002&abg=1
vadermike
(1,415 posts)Well if we hold CO, Orman wins KS (Which is likely as this point IMO) And we win GA and AK while losing AR, LA, IA, MT, WV, SD.. 50-50 ?
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Sweep NH, NC, GA, IA, and CO.
I do not believe that Orman will win in Kansas. That state is far right and they know that control of the Senate is at stake.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)A lot was made of republicans being ahead In early voting In CO and now it's shifting to democrats.Could we be seeing a 2010 and 2012 effect In CO where dems do better In actual votes than polling suggest
edit-the claims that younger voters favor republicans in 2014 may prove to be wrong If Co Is telling us.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)I still have a felling in my gut we are going to see some upset surprises Tuesday night because the bottom line is all these polls that came out Sunday with the republicans ahead were done between Wednesday thru Saturday.That leaves three days before the polls open on Tuesday.That was the problem in 2008 when most of the polling firms stopped polling in NH Hillary vs. Obama they figured Obama was 15 points ahead of her in the polls so it didn't matter to do any more polling.In the end she won by her GOTV operation on the ground.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)It will come because the likely voter model the pollsters used was wrong and Dems had better GOTV.
Republicans believe mostly In negative ads to get people to vote and Dems work on getting people to vote.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)It wasn't like that in 2010, but I think there's still a chance we eek out a win.
world wide wally
(21,740 posts)The last Denver Post poll from this weekend has Udall closing to within 2 points!
It is ridiculous that he is behind at all, but it's better than it has been for a couple of weeks.
CrispyQ
(36,460 posts)Go Udall!
I also posted ballot drop off locations for our county on my FB page - it's too late to mail them. I also posted this wonderful graphic I got from another DUer.
fizzgig
(24,146 posts)from a couple gen x/millenial cusp voters.
i'm pushing everyone i know to gotv.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)Someone give me some reason to hope, please.