IOWA Senate Race TIED 47-47

[Qutzupalotl]

Posted November 3, 2014


U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley closes the gap with Republican State Sen. Joni Ernst, leaving the Iowa U.S. Senate race a 47 - 47 percent dead heat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Four percent remain undecided.

This compares to results of an October 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Sen. Ernst at 49 percent and Rep. Braley at 45 percent.

Today's results show independent voters divided 44 - 44 percent. Republicans back Ernst 95 - 2 percent. Democrats back Braley 94 - 5 percent.

Men and women still are locked in a reverse gender gap as women back the Democratic man 51 - 42 percent, while men back the Republican woman 52 - 44 percent.

Braley leads 56 - 36 percent among those who already have voted.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110

[Schema Thing]

1. I like the sound of that last line you bolded

[caber09]

2. Question about the 56-36 number....

Love the last line but if he's up 20 pts with over a third voting already and we have gotv and R's are cannibalizing their Election Day vote how is it possible that Braley would lose?

[rurallib]

3. because Republicans turn out on election day to the tune of @ 85 - 90%

If you only count election day they usually kick our ass.

[Qutzupalotl]

4. From what I understand,

Republicans tend to favor voting on election day. Early voting usually skews in favor of Democrats.

I believe this poll is saying they expect it to be nearly tied once all the votes are tallied.

GOTV is everything.

[caber09]

6. Supposedly R's are only shifting when they vote around...

And Ds are supposedly bringing out those who sat out 2010 and newly registered voters so how does that add up to a loss new voters plus 2010 skipping voters plus base that pitted against same voters unless the gotv effort is being exaggerated? I hope it's true and we hold on to most of theses seats!

[vadermike]

5. Cool

Dems can still pull out IA and CO. GOTV !! And we take AK as well and KS goes I , could be possibly looking at Biden bring tie breaker. I would laugh my butt off at the rethugs !!!

[Politicalboi]

7. If Iowa picks the pig lady

Then they should start election caucuses somewhere else. Iowa isn't serious anymore.

[world wide wally]

8. Yeah right. A state that elects an ignorant person like Joni Ernst gets to determine who our

candidates for President are?

Only in America... Land of the joke