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For Democrats its turnout or burnout
http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2014/11/03/for-democrats-its-either-turnout-or-burnout/"Early voting seems to suggest that the Democrats have some reason to hope for better returns than the polls indicate. As I write this, African American turnout thus far in both Georgia and North Carolina is higher than normal. That clearly boosts the chances of North Carolina’s Senator Kay Hagan and Georgia’s Michelle Nunn. Early voting returns in Iowa and Colorado indicate a significantly higher turnout among voters who did not vote in 2010, suggesting that many of those are younger and non-white.
I won’t make predictions. If the Democrats have this superior turnout machine, it better be very good on Tuesday. Very very good".