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Warner too early to call?! Looks like a bloodbath tonight. (Original Post) johnnyrocket Nov 2014 OP
Senate will be a bloodbath. We may flip a few Govs though. yourout Nov 2014 #1
Still early. I think he'll win. TDale313 Nov 2014 #2
He should have run away with it. What the fuck. johnnyrocket Nov 2014 #3
Be patient -- wait for returns from the Northern VA precincts. DeadLetterOffice Nov 2014 #6
Republican votes tend to come in quicker. TDale313 Nov 2014 #11
Settle down they can't win them all. We'll pull off a surprise or 2. craigmatic Nov 2014 #4
Chill Man from Pickens Nov 2014 #5
Warner losing would be HUGE upset CityDem Nov 2014 #7
Fairfax doddles reporting, they always report last 4139 Nov 2014 #8
Relax! Warner will win! Northern VA returns Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2014 #9
Washington suburbs come in late TroyD Nov 2014 #10
Kornaki Said It Was The Same Way In 2012... ChiciB1 Nov 2014 #12
Warner certainly can still win, but... TroyD Nov 2014 #13
NY Times model says a lot of votes to come in from NOVA... brooklynite Nov 2014 #14
Oh, he'll win by two votes? BlueDemKev Nov 2014 #15

TDale313

(7,820 posts)
11. Republican votes tend to come in quicker.
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:15 PM
Nov 2014

Almost across the board. Less populated areas- less votes to count. High density, urban areas that tend to go Dem- take longer to come in.

 

Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)
5. Chill
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:10 PM
Nov 2014

Warner is a lock to win the seat. Don't be fooled by early returns in small districts, those always skew heavily GOP even in a wave Democratic year. That's just the nature of small rural districts. The GOP would have to build a lead so large that high-population urban centers couldn't overcome it, and that's an extreme longshot for it to happen in Virginia, which is more and more blue every year.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
9. Relax! Warner will win! Northern VA returns
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:12 PM
Nov 2014

always come in last. Most populous. Most urban and overwhelmingly Democratic

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
10. Washington suburbs come in late
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:13 PM
Nov 2014

Remember that it looked like Romney was going to win in Virginia in 2012, but then Obama pulled ahead once Northern Virginia came in.

I think that will happen tonight, too. Once the Washington suburbs come in for Northern Virginia, I think Warner will move ahead of Gillespie.

ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
12. Kornaki Said It Was The Same Way In 2012...
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:25 PM
Nov 2014

Romney winning for a very long time, then some counties took a very long time. Said same thing happening now. He seemed to feel that Warner will pull it out.

Who knows!

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
13. Warner certainly can still win, but...
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 09:39 PM
Nov 2014

The Warner camp was not expecting to be trailing at this point in the evening.

This is a better result for Gillespie and the Republicans in VA than expected.

At least Jeanne Shaheen and Kay Hagan are leading in their races so far.

brooklynite

(94,256 posts)
14. NY Times model says a lot of votes to come in from NOVA...
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 10:57 PM
Nov 2014

Their estimate that Warner will end up +2

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