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babylonsister

(171,034 posts)
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:35 AM Jan 2012

What if Gingrich Wins Florida?

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/01/22/what_if_gingrich_wins_florida.html

What if Gingrich Wins Florida?


John Heilemann: "If Gingrich wins Florida, the Republican Establishment is going to have a meltdown that makes Three Mile Island look like a marshmallow roast."

"Why? Because the Establishment will be staring down the barrel of two utterly unpalatable choices. On the one hand, Gingrich's national favorable-unfavorable ratings of 26.5 and 58.6 percent, respectively make him not just unelectable against Obama but also mean that he would likely be a ten-ton millstone around the necks of down-ballot Republican candidates across the country. And on the other, Romney has shown in two successive contests -- one in a bellwether Republican state, the other in a key swing state -- an inability to beat his deeply unpopular rival. If this scenario unfolds, the sound of GOP grandees whispering calls for a white knight... will be deafening."

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What if Gingrich Wins Florida? (Original Post) babylonsister Jan 2012 OP
Get out the popcorn! izquierdista Jan 2012 #1
Mitt as front runner hallowell Jan 2012 #18
currently Intrade is speculating a 50% chance Gingrich will win Florida versus a 47.5% chance Romney Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #2
It's better than that, now: 58.8% to 41.2% DavidDvorkin Jan 2012 #13
Newt by 14 kemah Jan 2012 #3
There is enough time ... earthside Jan 2012 #4
Please let it be Palin ecstatic Jan 2012 #7
We don't even see T-Paw out there anymore pimpin' his candidate. Perhaps he got out too early. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #11
T-Paw Works For Mittens Gecko Now... KharmaTrain Jan 2012 #17
Oh, he's *still* shilling for Gecko? He's another phony, anyway. My biggest complaint against the Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #19
It will prove that Chuck Norris is "the influencer" JustABozoOnThisBus Jan 2012 #5
He can have his victory party at Disney - he's just a cartoon anyway. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #6
The Republican establishment will panic... spin Jan 2012 #8
It appears now that the "Republican Establishment" is the right wing of the party who AlinPA Jan 2012 #9
Yuo. And it easy to see why the Republican leadership is running scared. (n/t) spin Jan 2012 #15
I think he will win in Florida. He turned over Mitt's apple cart and they all had worms in them. Major Hogwash Jan 2012 #10
For the Dems, it would be Merry Grinchmas!!! (nt) JaneQPublic Jan 2012 #12
Get ready for the thatsrightimirish Jan 2012 #14
We're Gonna Need A Fleet Of These... KharmaTrain Jan 2012 #16
Sorry bastards are getting what they deserve after cowing to the craxziest of Americans for years. alphafemale Jan 2012 #20
I too believe he is unelectable Mosaic Jan 2012 #21
Rick Santorum is right there waiting in the wings. Bolo Boffin Jan 2012 #22

hallowell

(15 posts)
18. Mitt as front runner
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:29 PM
Jan 2012

Ive been surprised that the media (online and TV) keep writing off Newt by saying Mitt is the inevitable front runner. The more they say this the more primary voters feel empowered to vote for Newt.

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
2. currently Intrade is speculating a 50% chance Gingrich will win Florida versus a 47.5% chance Romney
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:00 AM
Jan 2012

will win Florida -- we can only hope..

kemah

(276 posts)
3. Newt by 14
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:12 AM
Jan 2012

Fl is a close primary. This is the state that gave us Rubio, Scott, West, and defeated Grayson. Enough said. Gingrich knows how to play the tea party like a fiddle. He is devious, smart, and articulate. He is quick to response. Romney has memorized his talking points and when he goes off script he just blows it. With less debaters, they get to talk more and that will be to the advantage of Gingrich and disadvantage to Romney. The more Romney talks the more he blabbers and rambles.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
4. There is enough time ...
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:24 AM
Jan 2012

I heard Larry Sabato on the Bill Press radio show this morning say that there are enough primaries yet to come (and still open for candidates to qualify for the ballot), that someone could still get into the race as late as March and still be able to get the delegates to become nominated.

I think Romney really is on the edge, if not already toppling over. His taxes will probably make him one of the most "unsuited to the times" candidates ever ... and a win by Gingrich in Florida will be devastating.

Gingrich cannot get elected and he is a disaster for down-ticket Repuglicans.

So, I predict that if Noot does win Florida, there will be a 'white knight' coming into the GOP contest next month. The downside for Democrats of the Repuglicans starting the nomination process so early is that they have time to repair the damage they have done to themselves so far.

Big question, of course, is who could this 'white knight' be? The GOP has such a shallow bench ... Sen. Thune? Jeb Bush? Mitch Daniels? Sarah Palin?

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
11. We don't even see T-Paw out there anymore pimpin' his candidate. Perhaps he got out too early.
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:44 PM
Jan 2012

Perhaps he's wishing that he had stayed in??!??!?

KharmaTrain

(31,706 posts)
17. T-Paw Works For Mittens Gecko Now...
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:26 PM
Jan 2012

He was one of the "pitbulls" on a media phone call by Mittens campaign today. Yeah, here's a guy with a lot of credibility...working for the same guy who he called Obamneycare just two months ago...

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
19. Oh, he's *still* shilling for Gecko? He's another phony, anyway. My biggest complaint against the
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:49 PM
Jan 2012

Democrats is that they didn't educate the people about how this guy left a complete mess for Dayton to clean up.

spin

(17,493 posts)
8. The Republican establishment will panic...
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:47 PM
Jan 2012

Romney is a their choice as he is part of the 1% and it is his turn. Newt is a loose cannon that might screw up all their carefully laid plans.

AlinPA

(15,071 posts)
9. It appears now that the "Republican Establishment" is the right wing of the party who
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:23 PM
Jan 2012

are respnsible for Gingrich's success. The fact that they ran Perry, Bachman, Santorum, Gingrich, and Paul shows where the "Establishment" is now. The crazies rule the party now; the "Republican Establishment" went out when the Teabaggers took over.

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
10. I think he will win in Florida. He turned over Mitt's apple cart and they all had worms in them.
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:28 PM
Jan 2012

Plus, Sister Sarah is waving to Noot from the wings, "Yoohoo, remember how I supported you by demanding that Mitt release his tax records? Don't forget me. I'll be waiting right over here by my snow machine. You betcha'."

Frankly, I'd like to see Noot's birth certificate.
I'd like to see how much he weighed when he was born.

Mue-ha-ha!!

 

alphafemale

(18,497 posts)
20. Sorry bastards are getting what they deserve after cowing to the craxziest of Americans for years.
Mon Jan 23, 2012, 07:13 PM
Jan 2012

Fuck them.

Mosaic

(1,451 posts)
21. I too believe he is unelectable
Tue Jan 24, 2012, 01:20 AM
Jan 2012

I actually believe they both are unelectable, mainly because they are not protestants and that is huge in the mind of a true american conservative. The media pushes their corporate candidate, even so called liberal msnbc. Our media is a joke, internet pundits are superior to those stenographers we have on teevee. It's just a matter of time for teevee to go the way of the 8 track tape. Things will never be the same as we leave the dark ages of propaganda behind. The religious nuts who play geopolitics with people's lives will the biggest losers, their little game is up.

Bolo Boffin

(23,796 posts)
22. Rick Santorum is right there waiting in the wings.
Tue Jan 24, 2012, 01:29 AM
Jan 2012

If Gingrich and Romney tear each other apart, it should go to Rih "Blah People" Santorum.

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