2016 US Senate Election- Democratic candidates who are key to a majority.

[NPolitics1979]

Democrats are strongly favored to win
CT-Blumenthal-D 37
HI-Schatz-D 38
NY-Schumer-D 39
OR-Wyden-D 40
VT-Leahy-D 41
Democrats are favored to win
CA-Harris-D 42
MD-Van Hollen-D 43
WA-Murray-D 44
Democrats are slightly favored to win
CO-Bennet-D 45
IL-Duckworth-D 46
NV-Cortez Masto-D 47
WI-Feingold-D 48
Republicans will win NV if and only if Sandoval is the Republican nominee. CO is a Tossup if a top tier Republican candidate runs. Democrats will win IL and WI due to Hillary coattails.
Democrats need to win
FL-Murphy-D 49
IN-Hill-D 50
OH-Strickland-D 51

[4139]

1. "MD-Van Hollen"??? He may not win the primary

[NPolitics1979]

2. MD is a democratic win even if Edwards wins the primary.

[4139]

3. That's what they said about the governors race a year ago...

Democratic Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown has a double-digit lead over Republican Larry Hogan in the race to be Maryland’s next governor
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/maryland/election_2014_maryland_governor

Maryland may not be a cakewalk

[BlueMTexpat]

4. Brown did not campaign well. At all.

MD Dems are certainly ruing the outcome of their not supporting Brown. Some didn't bother to vote at all.

IMO, either potential Dem nominee (I'm an Edwards supporter myself, but will vote for whoever wins the Dem primary) knows better than to consider the Senate election a done deal in any way, no matter what pre-election polls say.

But MD Dems also learned a hard lesson in 2014.

[4139]

5. Right on both; Brown did not campaign well and MD Dems sat on their butts.

[NPolitics1979]

6. MD elected a Republican to the Governorship in 2014 because

1)Republican wave midterm election year.
2)Democratic nominee ran a lousy campaign.
3)Republican nominee campaigned as a moderate.
4)Democrats have a veto proof majority in both chambers of the state legislature.
Regarding the 2016 MD US Senate Race it is highly unlikely MD will elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate because.
1)2016 is a Presidential election year- Hillary Clinton carries MD by a landslide margin, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate will benefit from Hillary Clinton's coattails.
2)The last time MD elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate was in 1968(Charles Mathais who won reelection in 1974 and 1980 until his retirement in 1986) Mathais was a mainstream Consevative Republican and the Republican leadership in the US Senate during the late 1960's to the late 1980's was less nutty as the current Republican leadership of the U.S. Senate leadership.

[4dsc]

7. Hillary's coattails?

WTF. I suggest we first get the best candidate for the PEOPLE and then worry about the coattails. Hillary is not that person at this time.

[stuffmatters]

8. This a DNC $ed list? Grayson & Edwards are more appealing to a big portion of voting Dems I think.

Last edited Sat May 16, 2015, 08:12 PM - Edit history (1)

2016 might be the year for "the Dem wing of the Dem party" candidates. Especially after this TPP betrayl. Corporate Dems (and I now throw Wyden,Murray, Bennet on that list) also might get some challenges from the left over their TPP votes. Especially Wyden who big time made it happen.

I hope Feingold wins.

Don't know much about the others. I liked Harris until she made just breathtakingly awful arguments about keeping drug offenders incarcerated because their labor is economically necessary to our State and our prison system. It's just impossible to wrap my head around a candidate who would make such a statement.

[Persondem]

9. I really wish these lists would include NC. Burr is worthless

and his favorable are in the 30's. HRC will bring out more Dem voting voters than Obama did in 2012 plus the rednecks that voted against Obama will stay under their respective rocks.

Of course we do not have a top tier candidate in the mix yet. So there's that.