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NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
Thu May 28, 2015, 08:34 PM May 2015

Most to Least Vulnerable United States Senators running for re-election in 2016.

1)WI(Johnson-R)Lean Democratic Takeover 37D
2)IL(Kirk-R)Lean Democratic Takeover 38D
3)NH(Ayotte-R)Tossup
4)PA(Toomey-R) Tossup
5)OH(Portman-R) Tossup
6)CO(Bennet-D) Lean Democratic Retention 39D
7)AZ(McCain-R) Lean Republican Retention 31R
8)NC(Burr-R) Lean Republican Retention 32R
9)WA(Murray-D) Likely Democratic Retention 40D
10)MO(Blunt-R) Likely Republican Retention 33R
11)AK(Murkowski-R) Likely Republican Retention 34R
12)OR(Wyden-D) Likely Democratic Retention 41D
13)KY(Paul-R) Likely Republican Retention 35R
14)GA(Isakson-R) Likely Republican Retention 36R
15)CT(Blumenthal-D) Solid Democratic Retention 42D
16)AR(Boozman-R) Solid Republican Retention 37R
17)KS(Moran-R) Solid Republican Retention 38R
18)IA(Grassley-R) Solid Republican Retention 39R
19)NY(Schumer-D) Solid Democratic Retention 43D
20)AL(Shelby-R)Solid Republican Retention 40R
21)SC(Scott-R)Solid Republican Retention 41R
22)OK(Lankford-R)Solid Republican Retention 42R
23)VT(Leahy-D)Solid Democratic Retention 44D
24)UT(Lee-R)Solid Republican Retention 43R
25)ND(Hoeven-R)Solid Republican Retention 44R
26)HI(Schatz-D)Solid Democratic Retention 45D
27)SD(Thune-R)Solid Republican Retention 45R
28)ID(Crapo-R)Solid Republican Retention 46R
OPEN Seats
1)FL(OPEN-R)Tossup
2)NV(OPEN-D)Tossup
3)IN(OPEN-R)Lean Republican Retention 47R
4)CA(OPEN-D)Likely Democratic Retention 46D
5)LA(OPEN-R)Likely Republican Retention 48R
6)MD(OPEN-D)Likely Democratic Retention 47D
Democratic guide to regaining control of the U.S. Senate is
1)Re-elect every Democratic incumbent running for re-election including Bennet-CO 42D/43D
2)Hold onto every open Democratic held seat including NV 44D/46D
3)Win open Republican held seat in FL 45D/47D
4)Unseat Republican incumbents in IL and WI 47D/49D
5)Unseat Republican incumbents in NH,OH,and PA 50D/52D

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Most to Least Vulnerable United States Senators running for re-election in 2016. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 May 2015 OP
Interesting ..got one question though. Stuart G May 2015 #1
It is based on how many Democratic or Republican Senate Seats not up in 2016. NPolitics1979 May 2015 #3
Debbie Wasserman Schultz should be monitored by these last five standards. She's one of ancianita May 2015 #2

Stuart G

(38,419 posts)
1. Interesting ..got one question though.
Fri May 29, 2015, 11:27 AM
May 2015

What does the number at the end mean?..Like in the first line there is 37D at the end, ?

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
3. It is based on how many Democratic or Republican Senate Seats not up in 2016.
Fri May 29, 2015, 10:06 PM
May 2015

Assuming Menendez(D-NJ) resigns before the primary and Christie(R-NJ) appoints a Republican Placeholder. 35Democratic US Senate Seats not up in 2016 and 30Republican US Senate Seats not up in 2016.
Democrats are likely to hold onto CA,CT,HI,MD,NY,OR,VT,and WA- 43D
Democrats are likely to pick up FL,IL,NJ,and WI- 47D
The must win seats Democratic seats are
CO- Bennet-D defeats a top tier GOP challenger. 48D
NV- Cortez Masto-D has to convince NV Independent voters to keep Sandoval-R in the Governors mansion by reminding them how extreme the LT Governor is. 49D
If The Democrats win the Presidential Election they need to help Sestak(D-PA) get elected. 50D
The 51 or 52 seats are OH- Strickland-D and NH- if Hassan-D runs.
The uphill battle seats are
AZ-Kirkpatrick-D
IN-Hill-D

ancianita

(36,030 posts)
2. Debbie Wasserman Schultz should be monitored by these last five standards. She's one of
Fri May 29, 2015, 01:21 PM
May 2015

the Schumer gang who claim to know how to win. I hope DU keeps an eye on how much she impacts the gain or loss of seats.

I was happy with her for the first five minutes she had the job, now I wish she were replaced by Howard Dean.

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