Betting markets: Bernie and Biden at 13% each.

[DanTex]

Hillary still leads at 69%, down slightly. It's too bad that predictwise doesn't have a charting feature so we could see the changes over time.



http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016demnomination

[onehandle]

1. If only the primary could be extended to 2018...

...the 'Not Hillary' Party would have a chance.

[HERVEPA]

2. Do you understanf that this is prediction MARKET

I made a bunch of money betting On Obama in last General because the prediction market was so skewed to Romney, even though it was abundantly clear he was going to win.
Ever think of posting something with actual content?

[Pauldg47]

3. DanTex ....do u know what world your in?

[DanTex]

4. Umm????

[Bucky]

6. bad spelling world!

"you're"

[Pauldg47]

14. You are right !!! Thanks & I teach English in high school ...( me bad).....

By the way, my apologies went to Tex for being disrespectful.

[Pauldg47]

13. DanTex

Sorry I'm an ass!

[SouthernProgressive]

5. Go Joe.

Love the support he is being shown. A solid second place in poll after poll and he isn't even running. He deserves this showing of support on a personal level.

[Gothmog]

7. Hillary has a 69% chance of being the nominee

That is maybe a little low

[DanTex]

8. I agree, closer to 80% I'd say.

[Gothmog]

9. Nate Silver has the odds at 93%

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=585354

[DanTex]

10. In my opinion that might be a little high, but Nate Silver is good at this.

The thing when probabilities get near 100% is that there's always the "anything can happen" factor. But, yeah, overall Hillary is a huge favorite.

[Gothmog]

16. Nate is indeed good

[ram2008]

11. It was 75% last week n/t

[AgingAmerican]

12. The incredible shrinking poll numbers

Every week she loses a little support and he gains a little support. Both in primary states and nationally. Next it will be 60%, then 50% then 40%...

It will be a long five months, for some...

[Ron Green]

15. This 2016 election is a big test for America: If we can get past the idea of "betting markets,"

focus groups, ESPN, Beltway talkers, poll-quoting pundits and handicappers -

THEN, and only then, can we have a real transformative politics, one that brings government by, for and of the people.

We may yet fail this test, but it's sure as hell worth making the effort to pass it.