2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary has spent millions on ads in the New Hampshire market
She's been endorsed by every major dem in the state. The DNC and the NHDC are doing everything they possibly can for her. She has an army of paid workers on the ground. She has Super Pacs running ads for her.
And she's still struggling.
Bernie hasn't run a single ad, has fewer campaign workers and no endorsements from establishment pols. He's doing quite well.
Saying that it's because NH neighbors Vermont, just does not explain it at all.
Paka
(2,760 posts)He is the best choice we have.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)I don't know how the nation will survive Stewart's retirement.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)Calista241
(5,586 posts)Capn Sunshine
(14,378 posts)There's nothing like Herman Cain running on the republican side...yet.
Catherina
(35,568 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... and other polls where it's not Sanders stomping grounds to have a more rounded view
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)When or if you wake up, Bernie Sanders could use your help.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Divernan
(15,480 posts)or referring to anyone as "teh devil". It's not nice to put vile or untrue words in other posters' mouths!
News flash! Obama has not endorsed Hillary.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... the devil himself.
Either way, I don't believe the "establishment" hates Americans... more like Americans are part of the establishment they loathe
raouldukelives
(5,178 posts)There are those who take democracy for all people, of all races, seriously and there are those who invest in multi-national corporations and then wonder why they keep buying our democracy out from under us.
All thanks to the efforts of those who care nothing for the mantle of defending liberty and justice, only for personal comfort and damn the rest.
For a supporter of Citizens United, climate change denial and the continued subjugation of the worlds weakest for the whims of the wealthiest, the idea they can lead lives as being any sort of lighting rod for fundamental change is laughable at best and the vilest of evils at worst.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... at best.
None of these candidates can throw a stone, some don't like her at all... I get that... acting as if their candidate can throw a stone is getting hypocritical
raouldukelives
(5,178 posts)There are those vested in Wall St who do all they can, each day, to assist the most racist, equality hating, climate denying, democracy thwarting, war mongering entities on the planet.
There are no Democrats in Wall St. Only varying degrees of Republicans in wool sweaters.
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)I understand that you have something in this game, that is keeping you tied to Hillary. It certainly isn't any specific, or group of, policy positions HRC holds, so it must be something deeper.
It happens, and sometimes those things are difficult to let go.
My hope is that you will realize that whatever it is you think she is going to do for you, she isn't.
I'd bet a nickel, however, that Sanders would help.
Have good Monday, uponit7771.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... for isn't a mover for me.
Sanders is greater of the two goods character wise but slightly and this is not going to get anything more done in Washington more than Hillary will with a gerrymandered congress, this is not about how much more I like him than Hillary.
I also don't believe Hillary is Satan spawn
All the candidates have their gives and takes...
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)That HRC's largest funding comes from Wall Street? That her positions constantly "evolve", that she supported legislation that resulted in thousands and thousands of black men to end up in jail, that she voted for the Iraq War which contributed to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people?
Few on DU think she is Satan Spawn, but there are HUGE differences between the two, based on who they are actually serving, strength of character, sincere commitment to Democratic values, and the ability to make ethical decisions on critical issues.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... big money folk dive in and that's ok but the real money should be coming from the little guy and it is for her.
She's human, if she isn't evolving she's dying and its ok if she swings the way of her constituents, the opposite is worse... that's not a mover for me.
Sanders voted for the same legislation she supported that put thousands of black men in jail, none of these guys can throw stones.
She voted for the Iraq war and said it was a mistake, I don't understand her trust for the Bush admin (they were overtly stupid) but it looks like she's more discerning now... and less trusting of stupid... that's progress.
It's not important whether people think she's Devil Spawn they speak of her like she is even to the point of not voting for her if she's nominated.
That's stupid... so the rhetoric against her is hyperbolic and wingerish...
You know...
That's what makes me the most skeptical is that it is wingerish... a wingerish scent to it... I'm repulsed by it
But even with that I don't see Sanders getting anything more done in congress than Clinton...
They both have a non represenative level of gerrymandering to overcome and neither has outlined how they'll do it
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)"she also disclosed to the Federal Election Commission the names of 40 registered lobbyists who bundled just over $2 million for her campaign."
"The top lobbyist bundling for Clinton was Jackson Dunn, who represents Mastercard, Dow Chemical, Pepsico, and Noble Energy, a Houston-based oil and gas company."
She is a puppet for corporate interests.
I've found that her avid supporters are willing to ignore facts for some reason and to walk away from pragmatic ethical decision-making. Your final two paragraphs illustrate this very peculiar behavior.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... stomping grounds
cali
(114,904 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... born and lived most of his life in the north east.
We'll see, SC and some of the other less demographically homogenized states polling numbers should be out soon
cali
(114,904 posts)has spent more time stumping and stomping in NH than Bernie and is just is better known than he is there?
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)...seeing he's lived in the area for most if not all of his life.
SC is more neurtral tell tale IMHO
we'll see
jeff47
(26,549 posts)So all of NH is suffering some sort of massive memory loss? They forget not only the Clinton that was just there, they forget the Clinton they voted for in 2008? After all, she won the NH primary that year.
We should get health officials to investigate this massive memory loss. Might be something in the water.
It is rather odd that this memory loss only affects support of Clinton. They somehow can remember the Senator from the next state despite him never campaigning in NH until this year, but can't remember the woman who's been all over their state this year and in 2007 and 2008.
cali
(114,904 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)Arkansas and New York. And has campaigned for many years in New Hampshire unlike Bernie. Those are the facts.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)She spent 18 years in Illinois, then 4 years in Massachusetts (Wellesley College), 4 years in Connecticut (Yale University), then she moved to Arkansas (a Southern state) in 1974, and stayed there for the next 18 years, after which she moved to DC, where she spent 8 years before moving to New York, where she divided her time between New York and DC as Senator.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)I see by another of your posts you admit she is a carpetbagger.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... on Clinton when it comes to polling in that area.
cali
(114,904 posts)Hilly has spent more time campaigning there than Bernie.
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)juajen
(8,515 posts)This is a ridiculous argument, and doesn't add to the stature of either of these candidates. This is not high school.
Response to juajen (Reply #40)
Name removed Message auto-removed
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)thesquanderer
(11,986 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)in New York
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... we'll be able to tell then
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)She also is from the Northeast and is not doing so well with her millions and super PACS.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)You were the one who claimed she wasn't from the northeast.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... we'll see
SC et all poll numbers should be establshing themselves soon
jeff47
(26,549 posts)What state does she live in again? And what state was she Senator of for 8 years?
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)She has not been there for over 40 years. She was the senator from New York and that is where they have their home and New York is also where her main campaign office is out of.
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)I don't think Bernie gets any points for being from VT. Just my opinion as a life long New Englander.
cali
(114,904 posts)And she's campaigned there more than he.has
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)I'm in central MA and travel for fun to all parts of New England. All 6 states have a different flavor and I love them all.
cali
(114,904 posts)are very different. Hill is hardly from Nevada or some other far away state. She's at least as well known in NH as he is.
Oh, and it's far, far,far more her stomping (stumping) grounds than his.
sarge43
(28,941 posts)Unless you live on the banks of the Connecticut River and near a bridge, it takes more than 30 minutes to get from Somewhere VT to Wherever NH - no good east/west highways.
There's not a lot of love going on between VT and NH. VT thinks NH is filled with barely evolved primitives while NH considers VT a nest of slumming Flatlanders. Early on I was concerned that Sanders would get the "One of them" blow off in NH.
Some musing why Sanders is doing well in Graniteland
1. NH is somewhat libertarian; it's also egalitarian. Sanders' call for social and economic fairness rang the bell.
2. NH hates slick and bs. It wants straight talk and facts. Trying to shine it on just gets the crap detector red lining. It's serious about politics and wants it retail.
3. Like Sanders NH is cranky and contrary. The quickest way to lose NH is tell it that it has to do something because, well, everyone is doing it.
You're right about SC. NH is out of town tryouts; SC is opening night.
questionseverything
(9,651 posts)how sad that a state that will have no paper to count and voting machines made by 1%ers will determine the front runner
did you know a candidate with no campaign or even a cell phone can win a sc primary?
http://www.bradblog.com/?p=7890
As reported by Politico this morning (yes, Politico!):
One potential red flag: A significant difference between the results of absentee and election day ballots.
According to [Rawl campaign manager Walter] Ludwig, of the state's 46 counties, half have a disparity of greater than 10 percentage points between the absentee and election day ballots.
"The election day ballots all favor Mr. Greene. We don't know what it means," Ludwig said in an interview. "We did significantly better on absentees than Election Day, which is according to the mathematicians, quite significant. The other reason is, it didn't happen in any other races on the ballot."
In Lancaster County, Rawl won absentee ballots over Greene by a staggering 84 percent to 16 percent margin; but Greene easily led among Election Day voters by 17 percentage points.
In Spartanburg County, Ludwig said there are 25 precincts in which Greene received more votes than were actually cast and 50 other precincts where votes appeared to be missing from the final count.
"In only two of 88 precincts, do the number of votes Greene got plus the number we got equal the total cast," Ludwig said.
Greene also racked up a 75 percent or greater margin in one-seventh of all precincts statewide, a mark that Ludwig notes is even difficult for an incumbent to reach.////////////////////
my advise would be for sanders supporters to request and use absentee ballots
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)and for the polls of the Independents who are flocking to Bernie's campaign. He has already made inroads to the Dem base, but his major support is NOT from Dems it is from Indies, non registered voters (I've already signed up a few of them myself) and moderate Repubs.
So yes, we need to see the real numbers, Dem base voters cannot win the election for anyone. Hillary doesn't have the crossover appeal Bernie has.
Millennials are working for Bernie and as many of them has said, they are very informed, Globally involved and mostly nowhere near as partisan as their parents and grandparents were.
And they are the largest voting bloc since the Baby Boomers. Bernie has their support, that is who is driving his campaign right now.
Number23
(24,544 posts)these folks aren't nervous at all. Not one bit.
Would love to see you come hang out in the AA forum more, uponit. http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=forum&id=1187
INdemo
(6,994 posts)For Bernie to use that phony Southern accent as Hillary did while in SC
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)TBF
(32,051 posts)but the people want Bernie.
Gothmog
(145,131 posts)Hillary Clinton is also polling and raising funds. These are things that a normal campaign does to win
cali
(114,904 posts)her problems in New Hampshire and Iowa.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Gothmog
(145,131 posts)By this time in the campaign, President OBama was shocking people with his fundraising and endorsements
frylock
(34,825 posts)INdemo
(6,994 posts)She reads their scripts on the campaign trail and asks the working class to vote for her. That's Tradional?
And just remember Hillary is not running ads,her multimillion dollar PACs are running them
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)But so far, looks like Bernie has it....
MindfulOne
(227 posts)..in the bag!
What's going on???
MisterP
(23,730 posts)the blastfaxes, the lever-pulling, the deck-stacking, the armies of workers and superPACs are WHY she's struggling, I'd say
sibelian
(7,804 posts)It doesn't work as well as it did...
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)is challenging Sanders in his own back yard. Out of her two closest competitors one hasn't even entered the race. Sanders is currently in a fight for second with someone not even running. He is not in a fight with Clinton. He need to establish he isn't third before he establishes that he is Hillarys main challenger. He has yet to differentiate himself as her closest challenger. That is how far ahead she is. We are currently talking about one or two states out of how many. Biden is going to be the kicker. With him removed from the polls her trend line isn't going to make the Sanders folks too happy. I know that NH is all the rage to some. I see Hillary challenging Sanders in his own back yard there. Pretty amazing considering the demographics of the state. How about SC and Florida? What do things look like when you leave Sanders back yard. Good for Hillary. That's how it looks. One would have to be in a two state bubble, covering their ears and acting like there is nothing else, to even make this appear to be huge. It's becoming comical.
Renew Deal
(81,856 posts)"Hillary has spent millions on ads in the New Hampshire market"
This is the first time I've seen that.
aidbo
(2,328 posts)Spending 2.6 mill in New Hampshire
http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/04/politics/hillary-clinton-4-million-ads-iowa-new-hampshire-2016/
It's the first time I've seen info about money spent on ads.
twii
(88 posts)Last time, the Dem. winner didn't even win the whole primaries.