Sanders & Clinton Supporters--looking ahead to Super Tuesday (3/1) what are your predictions?

[WI_DEM]

I know it's early, but assuming Sen. Bernie Sanders wins the Iowa Caucuses and New Hampshire primary how do you see the Super Tuesday contests going? and assuming that HRC wins SC... (at this point I'm assuming that VP Biden decides NOT to make the presidential race):

1) Will HRC make a comeback in the largely Southern contests or
2) Will Bernie be able to take any momentum from the early wins and be competitive in the South?

Here are the Super Tuesday contests:

Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado (caucus), Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota (caucus), North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia.

Right now I would say that Bernie would win (certainly) Vermont and would be very competitive in Massaschuetts (though HRC could also be competitve there as she solidly won the state in 2008 even with Ted Kennedy endorsing Obama). I think Bernie could also do well in Minnesota and Colorado caucuses. In the Southern races he would need to expand his share of the African-American vote to be competitive in Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia.

I think HRC would win Arkansas (and probably Oklahoma) for sure and is probably ahead at this point in all the southern states, but if Bernie has momentum early on he could pick up many delegates on Super Tuesday even in the Southern contests--even if loses the popular vote in several of them.

Of course the wildcard will be Joe Biden.

[daleanime]

1. That I'll be covered in sweat.....

[redstateblues]

2. Bernie will run the table by huge margins

especially in the South

[jkbRN]

5. Totally agree

[LoveIsNow]

3. I think your analysis is good.

And I think he has plenty of time to expand his share of the AA vote.

[WI_DEM]

4. I haven't yet endorsed anybody (I may actually be leaning to Biden if he runs)

but if I were Bernie I would concentrate on Virginia on Super Tuesday. Why? because even if Biden doesn't run there is a well known and liked Virginian in the presidential race--Ex. Sen Webb. He could get 10-20% of the vote and (I believe) a lot of that vote would probably be more from the Clinton column than the Sanders column.