Want to see a Rasmussen-free Electoral College map?

[Ira]

http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Aug04-noras.html

[lamp_shade]

1. I like. Thanks.

[longship]

2. Thanks much. Interesting. nt

R&

[geckosfeet]

3. Nice map. Bookmarking. This will be interesting watch over time.

Conspiracy theory time....

Interesting that there are six likely GOP and one barely GOP while there are eleven likely dem and three barely dem states.

Given the track record that "close elections" somehow end up favoring the GOP, suggests to me that the high electoral vote states (OH PA MI) that are not strongly dem may be states that the GOP tries to steal. While I can see rMoney playing up the "home sweet home" card in MI I don't really see it going GOP.

[ailsagirl]

4. So, according to this map, if the strong/likely Dems vote Obama

He'll have 277 electoral votes
(not counting any of the barely Dems)

[grantcart]

5. Good analysis to go along with this map

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/04/michael-tomasky-on-the-possible-coming-obama-landslide.html

[jenmito]

6. That's from yesterday. The one from today reflects the new Washington state numbers:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Aug05-noras.html

[geckosfeet]

7. Interesting - they are calling MA race for the Dems and Mrs.E.Warren.

Say goodbye to Mr.S.Brown.

[crimson77]

9. Don't believe the hype

Scott Brown wins, before you say it, I know I am supposed to be all Gung-ho about her. I just can't be I've watched this election to closely(where I live). There is something about her that I don't like, it stems from when the election first started the mayor of my city Setti Warren threw his hat in the ring. Great guy, known him since high school, dedicated public servant. The Dems force him out even before he can get an momentum, because the princess doesnt want to debate 4 or 5 other people, and actually fight for the nomination.

[Zoeisright]

11. "Something about her I don't like"?

What, that she speaks truth to power?

And your calling Ms. Warren "the princess" is pretty condescending. Alerted.

[crimson77]

14. It has nothing to do with her being a woman

It has everything to do with her not doing something, debating Setti Warren, unless absolutley everything is catered to her so desires.

If you read any of my other posts, it would show you that short of Lanny Davis I might be Hillary Clinton biggest fan.

[Gidney N Cloyd]

15. I'm sure Setti Warren is a fine man but could he raise big money for a senate run?

Elizabeth Warren's developed a national following and that's a really good start for fund raising.

[crimson77]

16. He did pretty well in Newton

They didn't even give him a chance, the machine cut his legs out right from under him.

[geckosfeet]

17. I live in MA too. And I completely disagree with you.

Don't know anything about Setti Warren.

But I can't stand Brown.

[Cosmocat]

22. IMO - after the presidential, this is the most important race of the election

I see no way they can firewall the senate from the repubilcans without Warren taking down Brown.

I think the Ds make gains in the House, but don't see them taking it.

Keeping the senate is vital to keep the Rs from just completely frucking with Obama for the next two/four years.

[Warpy]

27. They're calling NM for Heinrich

who is a one term Rep and has done very well for us.

Anything is better than his opponent, the Horrible Heather Wilson. If you've forgotten who she is, this is from Nipplegate in 2004:

[mnhtnbb]

8. I sure would like to see NC swing 'barely Dem" in that map

to duplicate the election of 2008, but I'm afraid the current outlook
is correct.

[Warpy]

28. I think you will as November nears

and the awful truth about Rmoney inspires Republicans to stay home instead of going out in the cold to vote for an android who is pledged to cost them a lot of money.

[crimson77]

10. What happened in Indiana

How could we have gone from winnin it to now being down by 15?

[Voltaire]

12. Because we are a state chock full of simpletons

My Philadelphia Democratic roots are deeply offended at how the Democratic Party goes about its business in the State of Indiana. Dopes.

[crimson77]

13. But to lose 15% of the population that you must have had, is shocking.

Who are these people, I cant imagine it's straight racism, because they wouldnt have voted for him in the first place.

[DCBob]

18. It was "shocking" to win it in 2008.

being down by 15 is more normal.

[lewanatka]

19. And why exactly you find rasmussen polling unreliable

Maybe they are 1-2% slanted towards GOP, but taking that into account their data is rather reliable http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/pollster%20ratings

[Control-Z]

20. Isn't the fact that they slant at all

a good enough reason?

[TeamPooka]

26. you'd think so but some people seem to always be making excuses for the other side....

[Sheepshank]

21. Interesting...the link in the OP shows more of a 3.9% slant to Reps

....watch closer to the election, once Rassy has done all it can do to help the Reps along the way (sowing seeds of discontent and futility amongst the Dems), they will start the realistic enterprise of building their credibility with more accuracy. It's what they do with some regularity.

[Cali_Democrat]

23. LOL....welcome to DU.

[still_one]

31. I do not think any of the data is reliable. /nt

[ailsagirl]

24. kick

Thanks, Ira

[TeamPooka]

25. kicking Rasmussen, I mean the thread

[Warpy]

29. Welcome to DU

You're going to fit in just fine around here.

[TeamPooka]

30. feels like home already :)