Latest NH Poll: Bernie 33% HRC: 30% Biden 11%

[WI_DEM]

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders leads with 33%, followed by Hillary Clinton at 30% and Joe Biden at 11%.

http://politicalwire.com/2015/10/09/trump-and-sanders-lead-in-new-hampshire/

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-new-hampshire-polling/

[dsc]

1. Her best poll in awhile in NH

but unless it is repeated this may well be an outlier.

[sabrina 1]

12. Down from an average of 60%. Bernie up from 3%. Name recognition

is increasing for Bernie and as it does, he continues to trend upwards, even in Dem base polls. Of course such polls of just the Dem base don't reflect his actual support.

Eg, I just helped a previously non-voter to register as a Dem in NY today. Inspired by Bernie she decided to get back into the political process. This is happening across the nation. She won't be polled of course, and in open Primary states, she wouldn't even have to register this early.

But when the polls start including all those who will be voting in the Dem Primary, then we will get a real picture of Bernie's huge and growing support.

[dsc]

13. she polled 60 ages ago in NH

Bernie has led the last 10 polls and all of them by more than the 3 of this poll.

[OhWiseOne]

28. When biden is not included Hillary goes way ahead of Sanders

He will announce he is not running soon.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Gravis' track record is mixed at best.

That being said there has been positive movement in her nat'l polling and since states are drawn from that universe you would expect positive movement in state polling as well.

[sabrina 1]

14. I'm in NY and today we were helping previously non voters to register as Dems in order to

vote for Bernie. In open primary states of course, people like my friend who registered in NY today, don't have to register so they are not being polled.

Most of Bernie's support isn't coming from the lists pollsters are using in these polls.

But even without including his actual supporters, he is still beating her here. She has gone from around an average of 60% down to in the 30s.

I would be worried if I were her.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. "I would be worried if I were her."

"I would be worried if I were her."

I suspect she is not worried and neither am I but I want to thank you for your concern and give you a big you can share with your associates.

With Love,

DSB

[Number23]

21. !

[sabrina 1]

22. Thank you. I just want what's best for this country and a change from the old

policies which have left so many people behind. We can do better for the American people. back atcha!

[Elmer S. E. Dump]

35. That's nice!

As a Bernie supporter first, Hillary second, I second the emotion!

[JaneyVee]

34. You're saying Bernie is beating Hillary in NY??

[sabrina 1]

37. Badly worded. He's beating her in NH.

[JaneyVee]

39. Oh ok. That makes more sense.

[jfern]

3. Gravis isn't that great a pollster

I think Sanders remains up 7+ points like he's polled in most other recent polls.

[kenn3d]

43. Gravis Marketing Polls are rated C with a significant Republican bias by 538.com

From the Gravis Poll pdf:
The sample includes 662 Republicans, 373 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.1% 3.8% for Republican Caucus/5.1% for Democratic Caucus]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
---
Gravis Marketing’s state of the art robocalls will move you ahead and get your message out in a professional manner.

This data was composited into both the RCP and Huff Pollster aggregate charts.
Spreads are now Sanders +9.2 and Sanders +16.8 respectively.

caveat emptor

[emulatorloo]

4. I am pretty sure Bernie will win both Iowa and New Hampshire, thanks for posting n/t

[HerbChestnut]

5. Great showing for Bernie considering Gravis Marketing has consistently shown lower support...

...for him than other polls. And LOL at them running a poll that includes Al Gore and John Kerry.

[DCBob]

6. Looks like Hillary is gaining back lost ground.

Bernie may have peaked too soon.

[sabrina 1]

23. Bernie peaked in May!! Where have you been!

[Sliceo]

7. Here comes Hillary

Making a comeback in NH.

[demwing]

15. Welcome to DU

Or, if it's more appropriate...Welcome Back!

[artislife]

16. *chortle nt

[ismnotwasm]

20. ...

[Sliceo]

31. It's Biden or Hillary

[Elmer S. E. Dump]

36. As VP?

[Sliceo]

42. As next Democratic candidate for president

You knew it.

[sabrina 1]

24. Lol! Well, if you say so! Welcome to DU btw!

[1StrongBlackMan]

8. So I click on the Gravis Marketing link ...

I look down at the pretty graphics, laughed and closed the link ... Why?

Look at the 3rd and 4th graphics.

[hootinholler]

19. How Odd

Different polls maybe? Clicking the graphic takes you to a graphic share site. No real explanation of what they are either.

I agree it's a puzzle.

[1StrongBlackMan]

33. But here folks are ...

arguing the significance/irrelevance of a poll that, apparently, no one looked at.

Way to go DU ... The Place Where Facts Matter!

[Lorien]

9. But what is it WITHOUT Biden?

I'm really sick of polls that include a guy who isn't running!

[Sliceo]

10. He might run

How do you know he won't?

[upaloopa]

30. He had no money he has no organization

he has no endorsements. He could not win NH. He has no reason to run.

[DCBob]

11. Probably tied.

[sabrina 1]

25. Which only goes to show what the polls are really about! I prefer online polls where actual people

decide who they want and are not 'testing' who might be a better candidate for whatever party. Who on earth are polls that are supposed to be about those who are RUNNING in the primary, including someone who is not running?

[Fred Sanders]

32. I prefer science to not science. Other than actual people, who else is responding?

[hrmjustin]

17. Good. Hope the trend continues.

[sabrina 1]

26. It will, Bernie will remain ahead and once they start polling all those who are not registered as

Dems, it will be a runaway.

[Spitfire of ATJ]

27. Wonder if any of Hillary's people are talking to Joe's people....

Oh wait,....Joe has people?

[upaloopa]

29. Here again take Biden out of the race and

most of his numbers go to Hillary. Since Biden is not running the realistic picture has Hillary in the lead.

[Elmer S. E. Dump]

38. No. Biden people generally don't care for Hiilary.

[Historic NY]

41. You mean Bidens super pac..

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/biden-super-pac-cancels-ad_5616ecd9e4b0082030a1ddc1

[oberliner]

40. I wish they didn't have polls

Just make your case and we'll see what happens on primary day.

This horse race nonsense is tedious (much moreso on the Republican side, of course).

[workinclasszero]

44. Go Hillary!

Our next democratic president!