Poll: Clinton drops 10 points in 5 days

[99th_Monkey]

Poll: Clinton drops 10 points in 5 days
By Bradford Richardson * October 10, 2015 * The Hill

Hillary Clinton is dragging her feet into the first Democratic primary debate on Tuesday, dropping 10 points in less than a week, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday.

While Clinton enjoyed 51 percent support among Democratic voters in the poll’s Oct. 4 iteration, that number dipped to 41 percent support on Oct. 9.

Both Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Vice President Biden, who has yet to announce whether he will run for president, gained supporters from Clinton’s loss.

Sanders’ support increased from 24 to 28 percent over the same time frame, and Biden jumped from 16 to 20 percent support.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/256586-poll-clinton-drops-10-points-in-5-days

[Fred Sanders]

1. Did the first thread on this debunked "survey" with it's "credibility interval" not go well?

[99th_Monkey]

2. Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 9 .. includes 624 respondents. The margin of error is 4.5

Don't know what you're talking about, since you provide no link to illumine your rhetorical question.

[Fred Sanders]

3. Is "margin of error" what The Hill is calling it in their article about this Reuters survey?

Last paragraph:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/10/us-usa-election-clinton-idUSKCN0S32NZ20151010

Always happy to help with the truth!

[99th_Monkey]

4. Sorry, I still don't know what you mean by "this debunked 'survey'"

Last edited Sat Oct 10, 2015, 07:30 PM - Edit history (1)

the Reuters link didn't debunk anything, as it appears to be the primary source
article for Reuters own survey, that was reported in The Hill.

So I'm still in the dark about what point you are trying to make Mr. Sanders.

[roguevalley]

7. a debunked survey/poll is one hillary loses. Hugs, 99th Monkey

[99th_Monkey]

8. Ahh, I should have known by now.

thanks.

back at you with the hugs.

[sabrina 1]

21. Lol, yes, that is exactly what 'debunked poll' means. They rush into every thread with a poll

that isn't favorable to Hillary to say how 'unscientific' it is, yet they accept polls with people who are NOT running in this race, as 'scientific', but only if they favor Hillary.

[AtomicKitten]

23. I don't think "debunked" means what they think it means.

[NCTraveler]

24. "is one hillary loses"

She is a virtually unchallenged frontrunner in this poll.

[ColesCountyDem]

6. Debunked?

I see nothing in the article 'debunking' the poll.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/256586-poll-clinton-drops-10-points-in-5-days

[magical thyme]

10. the survey is not "debunked"

just because "credibility interval" and bayesian statistics are not the same as "moe" and classical statistics doesn't mean the survey is "debunked."

Hill's numbers continue to drop, regardless of credibility interval or moe. Within each individual survey, her numbers drop. WIthin the 2 statistical models, her numbers drop.

Unless and until there is a sustained reversal in the trend that has persisted for many months now, her trend is downward under each statistical model.

[Fearless]

13. False.

[Trajan]

29. You keep saying this was debunked ...

You said that last time too ...

Yet, apparently, it has not been debunked ...

There is bunk, alright, but it's not the poll ...

You are so gone, Mr. Fibber ....

No return ...

[Time_Lord]

5. I think because of Clinton's newest flip-flop/triangulation on Keystone and TPP

The numbers will drop even further.

It will drop further when she does a very bad imitation of Bernie Sanders in the debates.

[magical thyme]

9. K&R

[BooScout]

11. Didn't we discredit this on-line poll yesterday?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=661743

[Fred Sanders]

12. Two times the charm? Some got pretty beat up on that thread defending non-science!

[Fearless]

14. Complete bull.

[BooScout]

15. ...

[Fearless]

16. Do you have something to say?

[BooScout]

17. Just sayin hello...

[Fearless]

18. The emoticon also works for goodbye

Good day.

[BooScout]

19. ...

[jeff47]

27. Thanks! I only found this thread because you kept kicking it!

[BooScout]

30. Don't thank me....

I think Sabrina1 kicked it today. I moved on days ago.

[jeff47]

32. Still had the old window open.

[sabrina 1]

22. No, you didn't. Isn't it time to accept the fact that in every poll, Hillary has been trending down

for months now? Debunk that if you can.

Sanders is trending up directly related to increasing Name Recognition. Hillary trends down for the same reason, HIS increasing name recognition. People now have a choice, period.

[Treppo]

28. New PPP poll in Pennsylvania was just released

PPP, Pennsylvania: Clinton leads with 40% to 22% for Bernie Sanders, http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/trump-carson-tight-in-pa.html#more

[sabrina 1]

25. People are not fooled by those who suddenly change their positions right before debates.

[Fred Sanders]

33. Here is the same updated Reuters weekly unscientific "survey"/entertainment:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=672175

[WillyT]

26. HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!!

[NuclearDem]

31. An online poll with Biden in the race.

Seriously, guys?