2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Most Likely Next President Is Hillary Clinton
I was surprised to see this positive story about Hillary form Mark Halperin.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-10-26/the-most-likely-next-president-is-hillary-clinton
The Most Likely Next President Is Hillary Clinton
And Republicans are in denial about it.
Mark Halperin
October 26, 2015 4:00 AM CDT
Hillary Clinton stands on stage with husband Bill Clinton at the conclusion of the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2015.
A virulent strain of Clinton Derangement Syndrome, which scientists and Republicans thought had been wiped out at the end of the last century, is now afflicting millions of conservative Americans. Some Republicans so detest Hillary Clinton they are badly underestimating how likely she is, at this point in the campaign, to be Americas 45th president. Their denial is just as strong now as it was a month ago, before Clinton began a run of political victories that have enhanced her prospects, all while the roller derby/demolition derby that is the Republican nomination contest has continued to harm the GOPs chances of winning back the White House.
To be sure, nothing ever happens in a linear or tidy fashion with the Clintons; ................
But October has been good to Clinton:.....................
To state the obvious, Clinton faces two tasks to become commander-in-chief: get enough delegates to beat Sanders and then sew up 270 electoral votes. The more easily she can complete her first mission (especially compared to the wooly nomination battle of her eventual Republican opponent), the more easily achievable will be her second goal.
Here, then, are some of the advantages the Democratic frontrunner has now, many of which have been ignored or discounted by the people who want to beat her so badly they cant think straight:
Hillary has shown she can handle Bernie Sanders, despite his plucky persona, raw grassroots appeal, and authentic authenticity. The Vegas debate and Clintons improved poll standing has given her and her team a revived notion that Sanders will end up a nuisance rather than a real threat. She has confidence she can face him down in the three debates remaining before Iowa. Without Biden in the race, Clinton is not going to have to play three-dimensional chess and can focus her energies on Sanders alone.
Bernie has shown he doesnt quite understand how to play big moments in the big leagues. First the debate and now the Jefferson-Jackson dinnerSanders prepared more for both evenings than the organic Vermonter normally would for any political event, but even his advisers concede that neither occasion represented the kind of performance that Sanders will eventually have to present if he is going to stop the prohibitive front-runner. He was very strong Saturday night but aides say they are still having trouble fully convincing him that not all campaign events are created equal.
Hillary Clinton speaks at the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2015.
Daniel Acker/Bloomberg
Hillary is getting better at managing (and shaking off) the personal pang of her likability deficit. ....................................
Bidens withdrawal means Clinton will lock up even more commitments from the Democratic establishment, ............
Hillary has massive support from labor unions..........................
Hillary could be the de facto Democratic nominee by Feb. 8..........LOTS for reasons listed.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)She is our next President.
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SunSeeker
(51,378 posts)mcar
(42,210 posts)But a good read nonetheless.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)MissDeeds
(7,499 posts)Yep, the jokes write themselves.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)campaign kick-off event.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Roger Waters.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)Republicans are NOT in denial.
They are throwing everything at her to try and sink her Primary nomination because they know what will happen in the GE.
They know full well what they are in for in a Clinton GE campaign and they are scared shitless.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Once thise pesky primary progressives are out of the way she'll be free to move to the right.