2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDid Todd Akin just have his macaca moment?
There is no question McCaskill faced a tough path to reelection and still might lose, even with this comment. However, back in '06, when George Allen made his macaca statement, it looked like he would easily sail to reelection...Webb eked out a very narrow victory.
It also happened in mid-August.
Is this Akin's macaca moment? Are we going to have a legitimate shot at holding this season? We hold Missouri and it's very unlikely Republicans can take the Senate.
God willing. C'mon Missouri voters, punish this asshole!
rocktivity
(44,575 posts)Cooley Hurd
(26,877 posts)It was THAT bad!
Rhiannon12866
(205,161 posts)Isn't he running for his former Senate seat yet again and didn't I see George Allen campaigning for Rmoney in VA?
spooky3
(34,434 posts)George Allen was ahead in the polls and had a LOT more money than did Jim Webb when the Macaca Moment occurred. It clearly was the reason why things turned around and Webb won. McCaskill would probably be glad to have a similar outcome.
Had Webb decided to run again, Allen might not have entered the race this year, and he might not win this fall, especially if Obama continues to do well and has coattails. That's all speculation obviously.
But it isn't at all clear to me that people in general view outrageously sexist comments in the same way that they view outrageously racist comments, which is part of the question OP asks. So I am not sure that Akin's comments will have such a profound effect if Akin stays in.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)You would THINK SO...however never misunder-estimate the voting public and their propensity to vote against their own best interest.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Obama almost won Missouri in 2008, and yet in 2012 polls show him farther behind and Nate Silver says the state looks out of reach.
So perhaps it has moved farther to the right over the past 4 years and the Republicans will still be able to win the Senate seat.
It depends on the women's vote - they have the power to determine this election the same way they did for Michael Bennett over Ken Buck in 2010 in Colorado. Originally Buck was going to win, but huge support from women pushed Bennett over the top in the final days.
They will need to do the same thing here.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)In fact, the last two polls (Chilenski Strategies & SurveyUSA) show him only down 1.
So, it's still in play.
Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)I'm sure Willard will campaign in Mo. at some point - and, if he stands with Akin, he should be made to own these comments as well.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Here's my suggestion to the McCaskill campaign as to how to win the women's vote by large numbers the way Bennet did:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_2010
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)for the most part.
coalition_unwilling
(14,180 posts)birthplace (Lamar) back in the 70s. Hard to believe HST came from Missouri. (He integrated the armed services by Executive Order in 1947, IIRC.)
TroyD
(4,551 posts)thecentristword
(187 posts)His doctor told him so, so maybe its true?
thecentristword
(187 posts)The book of Mormon does say that it is in MO.
brooklynite
(94,493 posts)...and all my Party sources say this is the one we have to fight for.
avebury
(10,952 posts)I would not count on it.
spooky3
(34,434 posts)Turnout is the key.