Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 07:37 AM Oct 2015

BOOM- Florida Poll-Clinton 47% Trump -38%/ Clinton 46% Carson 42%/Clinton 46% Rubio 39%





The survey also asked 764 likely voters whom they would select for president given a variety of Republican candidates opposing Hillary Clinton. The results showed Clinton surpassed the leading Republicans. The margin of error for responses is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Democratic Candidate Republican Candidate
Hillary Clinton 47.0 Donald Trump 37.9
Hillary Clinton 45.8 Ben Carson 41.5
Hillary Clinton 45.8 Marco Rubio 39.1
Hillary Clinton 44.7 Jeb Bush 34.2
Hillary Clinton 47.4 Carly Fiorina 36.4


http://tinyurl.com/oa7f7rf


When was the last time a member of the GOPU won the presidency without Florida? Without looking, not in the past eighty years, at least?
21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
BOOM- Florida Poll-Clinton 47% Trump -38%/ Clinton 46% Carson 42%/Clinton 46% Rubio 39% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 OP
Great news. Florencenj2point0 Oct 2015 #1
"The MSM tried their best to kill her off ..." DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #2
Crushing Jeb! In his home state. Sweet! n/t livetohike Oct 2015 #3
Those polls are bogus. She will win by more than that. nt LexVegas Oct 2015 #4
I believe PBO only won FL by .05% in 012 and 3% in 08. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #5
There we go! That's what I was hoping and expecting to see post Benghazi. DCBob Oct 2015 #6
She's ahead of Florida's favored sons...... Historic NY Oct 2015 #7
ah, they must be having a sad. riversedge Oct 2015 #8
Hey I heard Hillary fans were panicking or something because....reasons. workinclasszero Oct 2015 #9
If Hillary wins Florida there are few paths for victory for the GOP candidate. DCBob Oct 2015 #10
Likely none... DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #11
This is remotely possible.. DCBob Oct 2015 #13
That actually shows the challenges of the GOP... DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #20
I think they have to win Ohio and Florida to even have a chance. workinclasszero Oct 2015 #12
yes, I agree. DCBob Oct 2015 #14
Right, they've done it at least once already workinclasszero Oct 2015 #17
WI will be blue in Presidental elections. yes they will riversedge Oct 2015 #16
Oct 30 Florida STATE poll; Clinton 54.8, Sanders 18.8 riversedge Oct 2015 #15
He does seem to be having a rather tough go of things. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #19
Actually I think Bernie is at 12. DCBob Oct 2015 #21
This is good news. It's too early for accurate assessments MineralMan Oct 2015 #18

Florencenj2point0

(435 posts)
1. Great news.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 07:45 AM
Oct 2015

Her poll numbers are rising. The MSM tried their best to kill her off over the last 6 months or so, but it didn't work. She won the debate. Sanders who has no business telling anyone not to yell stuck his big foot in his mouth. The republicans on the Benghazi committee was a clown show.... it has been a great few weeks.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
5. I believe PBO only won FL by .05% in 012 and 3% in 08.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 08:03 AM
Oct 2015

FL has about a 3% GOPU lean so if she's winning by 5% there she is leading by 8% everywhere else.

I suspect this will be a 51%-48% election.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. If Hillary wins Florida there are few paths for victory for the GOP candidate.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 11:47 AM
Oct 2015

Without FL they would need all the tossup states plus a traditionally blue state like PA or WI. Tough.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
20. That actually shows the challenges of the GOP...
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 12:21 PM
Oct 2015

They have to pull the equivalent of a straight flush.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
12. I think they have to win Ohio and Florida to even have a chance.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 11:57 AM
Oct 2015

Hillary is going to kick their asses and be our first female president!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
14. yes, I agree.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 12:07 PM
Oct 2015

They will focus heavily on FL and OH and will cheat to win them if they cant win legitimately.

riversedge

(70,196 posts)
15. Oct 30 Florida STATE poll; Clinton 54.8, Sanders 18.8
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 12:07 PM
Oct 2015

from the same poll.



Oct 30 FL state poll; Clinton 54.8, Sanders 18.8




http://polls.saintleo.edu/ben-carson-nearly-ties-with-frontrunner-trump-nationally-among-likely-gop-voters-while-jeb-bush-trails-nationally-and-in-florida/



Ben Carson Nearly Ties with Frontrunner Trump Nationally Among Likely GOP Voters, while Jeb Bush Trails, Nationally and in Florida
Tightening of Democratic Field Helps Already-Strong Clinton; Any Break-Away Move by Trump from the GOP Field Would Boost Clinton’s Advantage


Democratic Politics Continue to Favor Clinton

Among the likely Democratic voters nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton drew 54.8 percent of the respondents’ support. Since Vice President Joe Biden announced on October 21 that he will not run for president, the 15.8 percent of Democratic likely voters who favored him will likely become Clinton supporters, Orlando said. U.S. Senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders was selected by 12 percent of the likely Democratic voters.

“Hillary’s still the horse in the Democratic race, and I think that Biden’s support will now gravitate to her,” stated Saint Leo’s Orlando. ...................

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
21. Actually I think Bernie is at 12.
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 12:22 PM
Oct 2015

"Among the likely Democratic voters nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton drew 54.8 percent of the respondents’ support. Since Vice President Joe Biden announced on October 21 that he will not run for president, the 15.8 percent of Democratic likely voters who favored him will likely become Clinton supporters, Orlando said. U.S. Senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders was selected by 12 percent of the likely Democratic voters."

MineralMan

(146,287 posts)
18. This is good news. It's too early for accurate assessments
Fri Oct 30, 2015, 12:16 PM
Oct 2015

in the General Election, since it's completely unclear who the GOP nominee will be. But, it's obvious from these numbers that we have a very good chance of winning in Florida. It will require a strong campaign closer to the election, but we can do it. If so, the GOP has zero chance of getting 270 electoral votes. There are almost no paths for them that make sense if we win Florida, and many paths for the Democrats to get the needed electoral votes.

More good news!

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»BOOM- Florida Poll-Clinto...