2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBOOM- Florida Poll-Clinton 47% Trump -38%/ Clinton 46% Carson 42%/Clinton 46% Rubio 39%
Democratic Candidate Republican Candidate
Hillary Clinton 47.0 Donald Trump 37.9
Hillary Clinton 45.8 Ben Carson 41.5
Hillary Clinton 45.8 Marco Rubio 39.1
Hillary Clinton 44.7 Jeb Bush 34.2
Hillary Clinton 47.4 Carly Fiorina 36.4
http://tinyurl.com/oa7f7rf
When was the last time a member of the GOPU won the presidency without Florida? Without looking, not in the past eighty years, at least?
Florencenj2point0
(435 posts)Her poll numbers are rising. The MSM tried their best to kill her off over the last 6 months or so, but it didn't work. She won the debate. Sanders who has no business telling anyone not to yell stuck his big foot in his mouth. The republicans on the Benghazi committee was a clown show.... it has been a great few weeks.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)livetohike
(22,140 posts)LexVegas
(6,059 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)FL has about a 3% GOPU lean so if she's winning by 5% there she is leading by 8% everywhere else.
I suspect this will be a 51%-48% election.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)She is definitely on a roll!
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)riversedge
(70,196 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)GO HILLARY!!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Without FL they would need all the tossup states plus a traditionally blue state like PA or WI. Tough.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I would go further if they are defending FL in late October all is lost for them.'
DCBob
(24,689 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)They have to pull the equivalent of a straight flush.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Hillary is going to kick their asses and be our first female president!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)They will focus heavily on FL and OH and will cheat to win them if they cant win legitimately.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)in Florida.
riversedge
(70,196 posts)riversedge
(70,196 posts)from the same poll.
Oct 30 FL state poll; Clinton 54.8, Sanders 18.8
http://polls.saintleo.edu/ben-carson-nearly-ties-with-frontrunner-trump-nationally-among-likely-gop-voters-while-jeb-bush-trails-nationally-and-in-florida/
Ben Carson Nearly Ties with Frontrunner Trump Nationally Among Likely GOP Voters, while Jeb Bush Trails, Nationally and in Florida
Tightening of Democratic Field Helps Already-Strong Clinton; Any Break-Away Move by Trump from the GOP Field Would Boost Clintons Advantage
Democratic Politics Continue to Favor Clinton
Among the likely Democratic voters nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton drew 54.8 percent of the respondents support. Since Vice President Joe Biden announced on October 21 that he will not run for president, the 15.8 percent of Democratic likely voters who favored him will likely become Clinton supporters, Orlando said. U.S. Senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders was selected by 12 percent of the likely Democratic voters.
Hillarys still the horse in the Democratic race, and I think that Bidens support will now gravitate to her, stated Saint Leos Orlando. ...................
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
DCBob
(24,689 posts)"Among the likely Democratic voters nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton drew 54.8 percent of the respondents support. Since Vice President Joe Biden announced on October 21 that he will not run for president, the 15.8 percent of Democratic likely voters who favored him will likely become Clinton supporters, Orlando said. U.S. Senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders was selected by 12 percent of the likely Democratic voters."
MineralMan
(146,287 posts)in the General Election, since it's completely unclear who the GOP nominee will be. But, it's obvious from these numbers that we have a very good chance of winning in Florida. It will require a strong campaign closer to the election, but we can do it. If so, the GOP has zero chance of getting 270 electoral votes. There are almost no paths for them that make sense if we win Florida, and many paths for the Democrats to get the needed electoral votes.
More good news!