Reuters Tracking Poll: HRC 72% - BS 23% among likely Dem voters.

[JaneyVee]

http://m.dailykos.com/story/2015/10/29/1442384/-Reuters-Tracking-Poll-Clinton-Leads-Sanders-72-23-Among-Likely-Democratic-Voters

[bkkyosemite]

1. Don't believe it.

[trumad]

6. Clap harder.

[forest444]

10. And I don't WANT to believe it.

But in our heart of hearts we all knew that, try as he might, Bernie would not ultimately be able to overcome the overwhelming and nearly unanimous opposition from the media. That's the sad truth.

That, and the last Benghazi hearing - which ended up being the biggest early Christmas present Hillary could have hoped for.

[Codeine]

19. Is it really "opposition from the media?"

Isn't it just possible that outside the echo chamber of people who argue politics online there exists a wellspring of support among Democrats for Clinton? That Clinton supporters have logical, considered reasons for backing her?

I don't like the argument that voting for Clinton denotes media brainwashing or a lack of political knowledge and savvy. It's an argument lacking nuance.

[bkkyosemite]

31. Ain't buying it.

[RoccoR5955]

15. You bet I don't believe it!

They craft these polls to get the response that they want.

[Cha]

44. Good. I'm glad you're in denial.

[SidDithers]

2. DU rec...nt

Sid

[oasis]

3. What more can anyone say?

[upaloopa]

4. Out f.....g standing

[Persondem]

5. Nice news. K & R nt

[MineralMan]

7. Well, then...

[yallerdawg]

11. Was that the bump...

you were forecasting?

[MineralMan]

18. Even better than I expected, actually.

Likely Voters, too. I'm "stoked," as they used to say in my youth.

[Bobbie Jo]

8. Dayymn....

[Agschmid]

9. Kick

[The Traveler]

12. Drill into the sample and you will discover

"Insufficient statistics" for the 18-30 age group. (Potentially 90 million voters in 2016.)

Sanders remains in range in this poll until you hit older voters.

Again, the polling presumes that the younger voters will have negligible impact on the outcome. That may turn out to be correct ... but there may be quite a surprise down the road.

Trav

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. There is a recent Survey Monkey where it's 50%-30%

I suspect when the results are in the real numbers will be somewhere between the two:

50-30
72-23

61-27

Let's wait for more polls for clarity, especially landline/cellphone ones.

[Codeine]

17. Those young voters will have to turn out in unprecedented numbers

and vote overwhelmingly for Sanders to overcome the deficit he has in every other group.

Can they do it? Sure, the possibility exists, if a statistical "perfect storm" happens.

Will they do it? History says probably not (Just ask President Ron Paul.) The ball is in the millennials' court.

[bkkyosemite]

28. There are lots of older voters who are not oblivous to who

HRC is and who she is connected to. I'm one of them. Feeling the Bern (first of the Boomers)

[RoccoR5955]

14. Please define "likely voters."

Really, their definition of likely voters could be way off.

[MoonRiver]

22. Usually means those who say they are likely to vote. n/t

[riversedge]

26. When I canvass-the Dem party in my county hands me sheets of paper with names on

them and addresses. They define likely voters as those who voted in last two elections.

[MoonRiver]

29. I understand. I was going by what I am asked when polled.

[riversedge]

33. ok,

[Worldly Traveler]

16. Illogical

[workinclasszero]

20. BOOM!

Go Hillary!

[Spazito]

21. Wow!

Those are some impressive numbers!

[Gamecock Lefty]

23. The More People Get to Know Bernie . . .

The more they like Hillary!!!

[riversedge]

30. It does seem to be that way.

[Fred Sanders]

32. More like when the more voters get to know Bernie supporters.....

[riversedge]

35. oh oh

[artislife]

24. It is "likely" I don't agree

Nice qualifyer.

[HerbChestnut]

25. Take away the "likely voter" filter and you get...

Democrats:

Hillary - 53
Bernie - 35

Democrats/Independents:

Hillary - 47
Bernie - 32

Independents:

Hillary - 27
Bernie - 22
Wouldn't Vote - 45

So it looks like the key to victory for Bernie is to get out the vote. Get more people to the voting booths that aren't normally part of the political process. That's what his Political Revolution is all about.

[upaloopa]

27. Where are they going to come from.? He's picked the low hanging fruit. He doesn't appeal to

anyone else. He will never get much more than 25%. That's his constituency.

[bkkyosemite]

36. You are so negative towards Bernie and seem to have proof of your statments.

[bkkyosemite]

34. And Bernie says that in every talk he makes

Get out and vote. 63% did not vote and he said if they had we would have a very different government and country. He is right 100%

[riversedge]

38. He is spot.

[riversedge]

37. up up and away with the blue line....

?1446147814

[BootinUp]

40. I gotta post this lil tune

[riversedge]

41. Exactly the tune I was humming as I typed. Thanks

[DCBob]

39. That poll is a bit erratic but that is highest she has been the entire year.

That's significant!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. I have never seen anything like that.

eom

[SunSeeker]

43. K & R

[jfern]

45. It's 51-32 under Democrats

Their likely voter model is crap.