PredictWise Current Predictions - Democratic Primary & GE

[MineralMan]

2016 Presidential Primary Election - Likelihood of Democratic Nomination

Hillary Clinton - 89%
Bernie Sanders - 11%
Martin O'Malley - 0%

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016DemNomination


Winning Party in 2016 General Election - Likelihood of Winning

Democratic - 58%
Republican - 42%

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016president

There's more data at each link.

[BootinUp]

1. Amazing

They are still giving Bernie a 1 in 10 chance. I could probably make some money there.

[MineralMan]

4. I don't bet on political races. I donate to campaigns.

Better way to send my money to someone else, I think.

[BootinUp]

9. I don't either, shucks, it was just an observation. lol.

[Wellstone ruled]

2. Thanks for the post.

Really like Mr. Sanders,but,as a old DFLer,reality will clear my foggy brain and we can see a National Trend developing. Now,if the DNC will put money into Congressional Races and go 50 State Strategy,we will see some real results. Bernie is the best thing going,people want real change and not some hookie pookie crap.

[MineralMan]

5. Predictions are always subject to change,

if conditions change. I find them interesting, and these folks are statistics wonks. I'm not, really. I'm more of a "look at the numbers and go with my hunch" kind of guy.

But, these predictions are pretty close to my hunch, so...

[Wellstone ruled]

11. Yup!

Like you,after the Delegate Count hit the DU this AM,it is not over and things could go to Sanders and it is Ms.Clinton's to loose.

Hopefully you DFLers can clean out District 6.

[MineralMan]

12. We'll try. District 2 is up for grabs, too, in 2016.

CD-6 is probably a long shot, but District 2 is a possibility.

[Wellstone ruled]

14. Kline has to go for sure.

South Eastern is so controlled by the Conservative Germanic ideals. But,they sure do like their Casino's.

[MineralMan]

15. Kline has already announced that he will not

run again, so that district's seat is open. That gives us an excellent opportunity, and the demographics of the district have changed somewhat. I don't know yet who's considering running on the DFL side.

[Gothmog]

3. Predictwise is good but I miss the old Intrade market

The CFTC was correct to shut down Intrade because people were playing games at the end and were using market manipulaiton tricks but for a while it was a very good tool for prediction of political contests

[MineralMan]

6. I always found Intrade too hard to interpret.

I never got the hang of it. Predictwise makes it simple to understand.

[Gothmog]

8. I am a securities attorney and so Intrade made sense to me

[Iliyah]

7. K & R

[LexVegas]

10. Obviously skewed. nt

[MineralMan]

13. I found my Torx scewdriver and fixed it already.