2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYes, Obama leads in PA, but "the poll’s results suggest the race could tighten." Th Hill says
I found this article in The Hill. It says (without explanation) that today's good-news poll for Obama in PA (leading by 9%) suggest the race could tighten. Here's the paragraph:
But the polls results suggest the race could tighten. Fifty-three percent approve of Obamas job performance with 45 percent disapproving. Among independents that approval rating is narrower, with 50 percent approving of Obamas job performance as president and 47 percent disapproving.
Am I slow, or I missed the part where she explained how the poll suggests the race "could tighten"? Can any of you help me figure this out?
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/245449-poll-obama-holds-strong-lead-in-pennsylvania
Vincardog
(20,234 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)But that's probably the media just being cautious (or wanting to keep the race close)
DCBob
(24,689 posts)very profound anaylsis.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)If an R has a 9 point lead in that state, framing would be completely different.
MORTAL LOCK type stuff.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)I had the same reaction when I read that.
I was wondering what in the world they were basing it on? Nothing apparently. Just ignore it.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/08/pennsylvania-poll-obama-up-by-133168.html
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Obama has led in all but 1 or 2 polls conducted this year.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)The Hill has been pretty unfavorable toward the President all throughout this campaign. Don't understand why people can't just accept that there is a good poll, on that day, and leave it alone. Why look for trouble?
I'm sorry but there seems to be an almost glee with the recent concern posts here about polls...