Boston Globe: Obama and Romney "virtually tied" in FL

[Ashleyshubby]

In regard to a poll where Obama leads by 4%.

Typical MSM. http://www.boston.com/politicalintelligence/2012/08/27/president-obama-mitt-romney-virtually-tied-convention-states/LtLEjlkmti9A8NtCqBtdCK/story.html

[demosincebirth]

1. Leading by 4% is not "virtually tied."

[pnwmom]

2. It was within that poll's margin of error, which is dependent on the sample size.

Which means that another sampling could have gotten the opposite result.

The smaller a sample size, the less precision you get in the results, and the less confidence you should have in them.

Still, I'd rather be 4 points on top than 4 points under.

[Cosmocat]

8. It is if you are a democrat

if it was Bush in his reelection, it would have been a commanding lead.

[MADem]

3. That's one big ass margin of error, there--unless they're saying something like

let's pretend that RMoney is on the up side of a three percent margin, and Obama is on the down side...

Even at that, they're trying to create a horserace because that sells papers.

All that said, BIDEN IN FL is a GOOD IDEA. He can sell the truth about Medicare to an audience that isn't entirely stupid about this issue, and who may harbor some vestigial racial animus from back in the dark ages (which is what rMoney is trying to tap into...)

[woolldog]

4. Biden and Clinton in Florida *

[MADem]

10. Yesssss!!!! Let us not forget the Power of the Big Dawg!

No one can listen more intently and make an individual, or a group of individuals, feel like they are the most important people in the whole frigging world. He's a MASTER. Biden is a fantastic rally leader, too--he'll be very effective.

Surprisingly, you know who else has this talent? You'd never expect it, and he's not quite as good as Clinton, but damn good nonetheless--Steny Hoyer. He has that talent as well. Most good politicians have it--it's part of the job description.

[iBoy2G]

5. More Democrats

Last time I checked there were a lot more registered Democrats in Florida than Republicans. Yet somehow we keep getting stuck with these low life Republican governors.

[Drunken Irishman]

6. I'd rather Obama lead by 4 than trail by 4...

It seems almost always, even when the polls suggest 'a virtual tie', the leading candidate wins.

[Ashleyshubby]

7. That's the key point

The probability of Romney being ahead by even 1% over Obama is much smaller than Obama being ahead by any margin.

In 2008, the average of all polls was off less than 0.5%. "statistical tie" lovers pretend that polls are usually wrong by 4% or so, which is not true.

[johnnyrocket]

9. Worried about FL. It's a morass of suppression, misinformation, rigged districts...

....and in my opinion: election corruption.

I don't know how the Dems overcome that mess.