Aug. 29 UPDATE from Nate Silver = Obama 300EV, Romney 238EV

[TroyD]

NOVEMBER PROJECTION UPDATE FROM NATE SILVER

Updated 8:53 PM ET on Aug. 29

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Electoral Vote

Obama = 300

Romney = 238

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Chance of Winning

Obama = 70%

Romney = 30%

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Popular Vote

Obama = 50.7%

Romney = 48.2%

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http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Honeycombe8]

1. Really? That sounds pretty good. nt

[cry baby]

2. From his lips..............nt

[TroyD]

3. Swing State projections

OBAMA

Colorado - 63% chance of winning

Florida - 53% chance of winning

Iowa - 64% chance of winning

Missouri - 12% chance of winning

North Carolina - 35% chance of winning

New Hampshire - 76% chance of winning

Nevada - 75% chance of winning

Ohio - 69% chance of winning

Pennsylvania - 89% chance of winning

Virginia - 64% chance of winning

Wisconsin - 73% chance of winning

[Flatpicker]

4. I don't keep up with it

Week over week.

Does this show a bounce for Mitt from the convention?
From what I've seen this week so far, I'm not getting the feeling that it's working with the man on the street.
There has been no water cooler discussion at all at my place.

[TroyD]

5. No increase for Mitt yet

The convention has just started yet, so Mitt could still get a bounce, but Nate doesn't expect either Obama or Romney to get a big bounce this year.

Nate's current projections actually show an improvement for Obama compared to a couple of weeks ago.

[ailsagirl]

6. Thanks for posting!!!

Gives me hope