Breaking New Hampshire Poll - Sanders 50%, Clinton 37%, O'Malley 3%

[Attorney in Texas]

Link to today's Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) live cell and landline telephone poll of 800 likely New Hampshire primary voters sponsored by Fox.

Even more revealing poll question: How would you feel if Clinton/Sanders wins the Democratic presidential nomination?

Very satisfied:

51% - Sanders
37% - Clinton

Somewhat satisfied:

34% - Sanders
31% - Clinton

Not at All satisfied:

8% - Sanders
17% - Clinton

[tecelote]

1. Bernie's going to win!

The Bern feels so good!

[leftofcool]

2. FOX News Poll? ROFLMAO!

[Attorney in Texas]

4. Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) does the polling

Fox sponsors the poll.

You get how polling works, right?

[Renew Deal]

14. Never heard of them

Have they done any other polls ever?

[pangaia]

19. OOpps wrong results?

[Renew Deal]

22. Have you heard of them?

[okasha]

31. Wrong question.

The important one is "Who will you vote for?"

Still whacking away at a very deceased equine. It's a variation on the favorability theme that seems to make tingles down some people's back.

[CoffeeCat]

6. Oh please!

You Hillary supporters touted the Monmoth and Loras polls as if they were flipping crystal balls foretelling the future.

Monmoth excluded ALL Iowa first-time caucus participants, EVERYONE under the age of 26, and ALL independents.

When I explained the faulty poll methodology, I was mocked.

When the Monmoth disaster and the similarly faulty Loras poll was released you people declared, "So sad. He's just too far behind" and many chided Sanders supporters and told them to, "accept reality."

Now, you find a problem with a pollster?

[brooklynite]

26. And you Sanders supporters told us not to trust the poll if the sponsor was "biased"

[JonLeibowitz]

29. That's when Brock literally paid for that result and PPP felt it necessary to disclose that.

The difference is striking.

[brooklynite]

33. I don't believe that...but if I did I would respond: "and Fox isn't paying for a result"?

[JonLeibowitz]

35. And I would respond by pointing out that the GOP/FOX doesn't want Trump, and yet his poll #'s.....

[NorthCarolina]

7. Probably means nothing.

Hillary will undoubtedly still win...so relax and go back to sleep. It's just Faux News right? Nothing to worry about. Hillary is holding steady at a bazillion percent to Bernies Way, Way less-than-that%.

[artislife]

48. You are feeling sleepy now, rest, rest...

heh

[mindwalker_i]

9. And it's not scientific

And it didn't poll the right people.

[Attorney in Texas]

13. Agreed! They accidentally asked likely voters in New Hampshire; that's dangerously close to relevant

information.

I wish someone would quickly post an internet based of all adults without focusing on any early primary or caucus state so we can get back to the Crown Her Now! Parade.

[AngryParakeet]

3. Trust no New Hampshire polling...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_primary-194.html

Polling in New Hampshire has been all over the place, so Im not trusting any pollster at the moment.

[winter is coming]

8. You'd almost think someone had commissioned a lot of sketchily-done polls to muddy the waters. n/t

[Renew Deal]

15. NH is very tricky because of independent voting

They will usually vote in the more interesting race. And sometimes that's a last minute decision.

[Tab]

17. In defense of New Hampshire

(where I live)
It's a good test ground for newbie candidates. You can drive from the bottom to the top in 4 or 6 hours. You're isolated enough from the Boston market that you can run test ads without diluting the audience. You can book venues for practically nothing. Word gets around, as opposed to, say, Los Angeles. In fact, if you live in LA or SFO you can just kiss goodbye any opportunity to see a candidate. NH is small enough that if you want to hit up a "town hall" or something, you can. I've met and/or seen a number of candidates. Yes, it's kind of monochromatic, but it's a decent indicator.

[yellerpup]

18. Thanks for that insight.

Love New Hampshire! Beautiful place with lots of smart people.

[grasswire]

56. Hey! nt

[yellerpup]

57. Hey, grasswire!

Feeling the Bern? I am so excited about this campaign!

[grasswire]

58. absolutely

....and it's great to "see" you

[libdem4life]

5. OK, if it makes you feel better. CT, extraordinaire.

[winter is coming]

10. So, looking at the numbers in the link,

HRC's "not very satisfied/not at all satisfied number" is 30%, while Bernie's is 13%, and her "very satisfied/somewhat satisfied" number is only 68%, while Bernie's is 85%. Which tallies with what people have been saying all along about Hillary having a problem with enthusiastic support.

[Betty Karlson]

42. Hillary's campaign would be 2014 redux: a disaster waiting to be denied. eom

[in_cog_ni_to]

11. He's got this!

Because he has us - the 99%!

Go Bernie!

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[workinclasszero]

12. Fox poll?

Damn

[Tab]

16. I live in New Hampshire

I can vouch for that. Maybe not the O'Mallefy part though.

[ConservativeDemocrat]

20. As a Clinton supporter I won't "unskew" this poll

I have always expected that Sanders would take Vermont and its neighbor state New Hampshire as a favorite son.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[AlbertCat]

21. Sanders would take Vermont and its neighbor state New Hampshire

It's been my experience (so anecdotal) the NH is a bit more conservative and, except in climate, not very like VT.

[ConservativeDemocrat]

24. Republicans aren't voting in New Hampshire...

And there is no particular sign that Vermont is as liberal as Bernie is. They just voted down Single Payer there, which is what the good senator is campaigning on nationally.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[AlbertCat]

39. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

Fascinating!

But what does your post have to do with my post?

A. C. proud member of the reading comprehension community

[ConservativeDemocrat]

44. Let me see if I can explain this to you at your reading level

Saying "New Hampshire is more conservative than Vermont", is not the same thing as saying "New Hampshire Democrats are more conservative than Vermont Democrats". It doesn't really matter that there are a bunch of New Hampshire Republicans who love the Union Leader; they've got their own primary to make decisions in.

With me so far?

Okay, so as a measure of "how liberal are Democrats compared to Sanders" is a big deal, because the complaint from Sanderistas is that Hillary isn't liberal enough (or not liberal, or republican, or nazi, or whatever the hell bullshit they've decided to make up). So to address the question, "Are New Hampshire Democrats liking Senator Sanders because he's a local candidate, or is this the indication of some vast left-wing ground swell", one needs to compare his positions vs his own state. And guess what? In his own home State, Vermont failed to pass Single Payer, even though all levers of government are owned by the Democrats. Senator Sanders' own position can't get through his own home state, much less the country.

The conclusion is therefore obvious. Sanders is a guy on the local news a lot. Democratic voters in the region like him as a person, because he's a local, and probably very nice. His positions? Not so much. Which means that in other states where he doesn't have this natural "favorite son" advantage, he's going to sink.

I hope this explains it to you. My apologies for going too fast initially.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[AlbertCat]

46. You still haven't read my post, I see

Just rattling on about...something.

Did you look up "anecdotal"?

[ConservativeDemocrat]

47. I did. The word "anecdotal" makes your point even weaker

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[Stoolbend]

49. And being "reality based" when you're living on a tight, thin bubble

that's about to burst. Them's the facts, Jack.

[George II]

23. Fox News / republicans want Sanders to win, he's easier to beat in the General Election.

[ConservativeDemocrat]

25. True, but beside the point

A scientifically run poll is a scientifically run poll. I see no reason why the pollsters would want to tarnish their reputation by deliberately skewing it one way or the other.

Reality based means reality based - even if it isn't what you'd like to see happen.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[George II]

30. They say its a "scientifically run poll", but Fox also says they're "fair and balanced" and "news"!

[ConservativeDemocrat]

37. Separate out the people paying for the poll from the pollster

Pollsters have a reputation to uphold, and that is to be accurate.
If they skewed the numbers, they'd get no more contracts to do more polls - from anybody.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[artislife]

50. I have to say it is fun reading h supporters

discount polls for a change.

carry on.

[ConservativeDemocrat]

59. Why are you responding to me?

I'm not discounting anything.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

[vkkv]

27. DU'ers aren't wrong after all ....That poll that Hillary fans were laughing at...

Who would pick the BEST Supreme Court Justices? Bernie Or Hill ?

Come on now, be honest!
154 votes, 3 passes | Time left: Unlimited

Bernie Sanders would nominate the best Supreme Court Justices: 135 (88%)

Hillary Clinton would nominate the best Supreme Court Justices: 15 (10%)

Martin O' Malley would nominate the best Supreme Court Justices: 4 (3%)

The Republican Congress , er, kindergartners, would nominate the best Supreme Court Justices, by accident, in between votes to repeal ObamaCare: 0 (0%)

3 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251974642

[thereismore]

28. It shows the enthusiasm gap. Go Bernie. nt

[millbrooky]

34. It shows who Fox is rooting for

Fixed.

[thereismore]

36. Possibly. But not in this case. nt

[Attorney in Texas]

43. LOL! Anderson Robbins Research (D) / Shaw & Company Research (R) leans Democratic but take whatever

comfort you can from dismissing data because of who reports the data. I'm sure the facts on the ground will go away if you ignore them hard enough.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/new-fox-poll-tilts-democratic/article/567585

[millbrooky]

32. You leaving "Fox" out of the title was a masterful move

Nice spin. This is also the only pollster to date finding Trump ahead of Clinton nationally. Go figure.

[winter is coming]

38. fivethirtyeight.com rates them as a B. Not the best, but far from the worst.

Two other pollsters often quoted here are Quinnipiac (B+) and PPP (B minus):

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

[DCBob]

40. Never trust Faux Newz on anything..

?6

[JoePhilly]

51. + 1

[randys1]

52. Sad that you have to say this here, but evidently you do. I wonder who FOX wants

to see running on the Dem ticket?

[Betty Karlson]

41. Great news.

I never believed those polls that said Clinton was moving up again in NH, or even overtaking Sanders. This poll is far more consistent with the trend line that began in July 2015.

[Attorney in Texas]

45. The polling in New Hampshire and Iowa is definitely trending the right direction

[riversedge]

53. NOT breaking. This is the same Fox poll Sanders fans have been posting for the past week.!!!!!

FROM the OP

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/08/fox-news-poll-new-hampshire-gop-presidential-primary-race/

Anderson Robbins Research (D) / Shaw & Company Research (R) Interviews Conducted:
January 4-7, 2016

All results are for release after 6:00PM/ET Friday, January 8, 2016.

NEW HAMPSHIRE

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).

[Faux pas]

54. Kickin' with gusto!

[libdem4life]

55. Poll Flame Bait...and I intend to add this to Every Poll that Comes Out. I'm sick

of this contention. None of them are right...is my assumption.