NEW Quinnipiac IOWA POLL: SANDERS 49 (+9); CLINTON 44 (-7)

[morningfog]

Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders has climbed to a slim lead over national frontrunner Hillary Clinton in a new Iowa poll.

With just 20 days remaining until the first-in-the-nation caucus, a Quinnipiac University poll released today shows Sanders leading Clinton for the first time in the Hawkeye State with 49 percent support -- his highest support in any Iowa poll yet. Clinton garnered 44 percent support.

That's a 9 percentage point increase for Sanders and a 7-point drop for Clinton since the last Quinnipiac poll in Iowa almost one month ago.

Sanders' lead, which is still barely within the margin of error, is bolstered by a broad gender gap. Sanders earns support from six in 10 men and leads Clinton by 31 points among that group. Meanwhile, Clinton leads among women by 16 points.

The poll comes as the Vermont senator's campaign continues to gain momentum in his neighboring state of New Hampshire. He's led recent polling there by double digits, threatening to deliver a blow to Clinton's campaign in the first two contests.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/bernie-sanders-takes-slim-lead-hillary-clinton-iowa/story?id=36240514

[Robbins]

1. I love this

Quinnipiac can't be dismissed.

Bernie is ahead because his support among men is higher than Clinton's support of women and he has more women supporting him
than clinton has men.

Those thinking bernie could win both Iowa and NH don't sound so crazy anymore

[morningfog]

2. That's how I see it. A one-two punch to start the voting.

[floriduck]

4. Hill people always like to use polls as their argument

for why Hill will win. I would prefer to let the polls speak for themselves and know that grass roots activism is the real reason Bernie will win. The polls are just a result of grass root efforts.

[Robbins]

5. we are seeing 2004 and 2008 all over again

It was only in final weeks before iowa that Kerry started to move.and it was in final weeks that Obama started to look like he
could win iowa.

we are now at point when many move beyond who they know and really think about who to vote for.

I supported dean in 2004 but a big part of why Kerry won was he listened to people.even those who disagreed with him on IWR.

Bernie has been working on earning support In Iowa.and it's paying off.

Bernie has been doing it without establishment support and with untill now MSM blackout.

[d_legendary1]

30. Hell yes!

Apparently she hasn't yet learned that being a Clinton does not guarantee a victory. Didn't work in 2008 and its not gonna work now.

[CharlotteVale]

3. K&R

[dirtydickcheney]

6. I love Bernie!!! <3 <3 <3

This post made my day!!!

[Fawke Em]

7. Looks like PPP is the outlier.

Guess that's what you get when you're a valued customer of the polling company.

[Robbins]

10. Even PPP has bad news

O'Malley supporters have bernie as second choice far more than Clinton.if he doesn't hit 15% in countys Bernie will benefit by getting many of his supporters.

As you said I don't trust PPP during primary with them being paid by correct the record superpac.conflict of Intrest there.

[WillyT]

8. HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!!

[in_cog_ni_to]

9. This is so damn sweet.

Sweet, sweet, sweet, sweet, sweet.

Go Bernie!

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[retrowire]

11. hey? where'd that Clinton supporter go?

you know, the one that would post the quinnipiac poll every day to inform us all how the primaries were going?

wonder why they stopped posting the poll?

hmmmmmm....

could it be because Hillary is no longer in the lead? nahhh, that can't be it.

[A Simple Game]

17. Supporter, one, singular? There seem to be several missing today. n/t

[HubertHeaver]

31. They are at work. They'll be along as soon as they get some time.

Gotta earn a living, you know. After all, they don't get paid to post here, do they?

[morningfog]

20. Isn't it great?

It is looking like February will start wonderfully.

[MrMickeysMom]

21. They're busy perpetuating fibs about us hating her supporters!

It's easier to attack Bernie Sander's supporters at this juncture, I'd say...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/110733705

[d_legendary1]

32. The bad news for them is that we aren't running for president

THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT BERNIE IS!!! Now they're feeling the Bern!!!!

[retrowire]

35. does it not occur to them

that those people attacking the head of PP could be the usual suspects?

ie: pro lifers, anti Hillary republicans, etc?

im sure some are Bernie supporters, but to say they're all Bernie supporters? lol where is their "scientific data" to back up that claim?

[in_cog_ni_to]

12. kick! n/t

[OnlinePoker]

13. Even better than the ARG poll

Someone in the following thread said ARG was a bad poll in 2012, but it looks like they may have it right this time.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141311738

[wolfie001]

14. This is great!!! nt

[senz]

15. A great candidate + people power = recipe for success!

Take that, Wall Street!

[Red Oak]

16. Think the Clinton team now wishes there were more debates scheduled?

They obviously have one coming up Sunday, but that may not be enough for her to pull even in either Iowa or New Hampshire.

Let's see if DWS calls for a couple of "emergency" debates after the one this Sunday. That would be hilarious.

[left-of-center2012]

19. DWS calls for a couple of "emergency" debates

No. She'll say she is conceding to Bernie's request for more debates.

[Trajan]

34. Didn't she just yesterday put out a message ..

Requesting 'more spirited debates'? ....

It was actually quite hilarious ... She suddenly has a desire for more debate face-time ... Her increasing ardor for debates will probably find a member of the DNC leadership who is willing to help her get those debates ...

Crazy world, eh?

[Oilwellian]

18. K&R n/t

[Babel_17]

22. Well, that kind of news is a shot to the arm

Though the Sanders campaign would still be energized to win had it been not as good.

[Duval]

23. Thrilling...it really is! K&R

[aspirant]

24. Now add all the

newly interested Millennials. the cell phoners and the first time voters and you have a landslide

[jomin41]

25. WOW! I now have the feeling that

no matter what happens, this movement has legs!

[virtualobserver]

27. we are reaching the tipping point

once Hillary's inevitability bubble bursts.......That is when Hillary will start to go very negative.

[Dretownblues]

37. She's already started

With attacks on Sanders for his healthcare plan and guns. The week has a good article on it.
[link:http://
http://theweek.com/articles/598798/hillary-clintons-dirty-attack-bernie-sanders|

[SoapBox]

26. Yup...and his lead will continue to grow.

For the 99%, he's the only common sense candidate running on either side.

Person by person, state by state...his numbers will increase.

[morningfog]

28. If this holds and builds, there will be a new narrative from now until Feb. 20 (and beyond?)....

M O M E N T U M.

[Ed Suspicious]

29. But gravis has Hillary at 98% vs Bernie at -11%.

[Beacool]

33. This says more about IA than about Hillary.

"Men support Sanders 61 percent to 30 percent, while women back Clinton 55 percent to 39 percent." Prior to Joni Ernst's election to the Senate in 2014, in their 168 years, IA had never sent a woman to Congress nor had a woman governor.

[morningfog]

36. Snort. And up until she was trailing, Iowa was hunky dorry.

[Beacool]

38. Nope, I always thought that they are given far too much importance.

I have opposed caucuses for years. IMO they are not democratic in this day and age. They shouldn't exist anymore, all states should hold primaries. I also think that our election system is flawed. No other nation drags the process for almost two years.

[Motown_Johnny]

40. So when she loses both Iowa and New Hampshire, you will have meaningless excuses for both?

How convenient.

[Beacool]

41. Believe what you want, I don't really care.

I do know though, that neither state represents the nation. They are both mostly white and rural.

[Motown_Johnny]

42. Agreed, but they do help to shape the race,

and when you consider the trends that already exist, they could have quite an impact this time around.

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials-polls/011116-789089-hillaryclinton-lead-nearly-vanishes-among-democrats.htm

^snip^


With just 21 days until the presidential primaries officially begin in Iowa, Hillary Clinton's support among Democrats nationally has taken a serious tumble, falling eight points to 43%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. Support for her chief rival, Bernie Sanders, rose six points to 39%.

As a result, Clinton's lead over Sanders, which had been 18 points, is now just four points.

Other polls have shown the race tightening in Iowa, which holds its caucuses on Feb. 1, and New Hampshire, which has its primary eight days later. Two recent New Hampshire surveys have Sanders in the lead, and the latest NBC poll in Iowa has Sanders just three points behind Clinton.

.cms

[Motown_Johnny]

39. I don't trust Quinnipiac, even when it tells me what I want to hear.

I am glad to see these numbers but I need more than one source for them.

I do still believe that Bernie will over perform in a caucus situation. The enthusiasm of his supporters are such that they are more likely to go through that process for him.

I also still believe that some of Hillary's support is just name recognition and that she will tend to under perform, especially in a caucus.