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Iowa doesn't matter (Original Post) eridani Jan 2016 OP
Saw a Clinton guy on MSNBC yesterday EdwardBernays Jan 2016 #1
Give them time ... TheFarS1de Jan 2016 #2
Yep! Nt newfie11 Jan 2016 #3
Yet you have other idiots SmittynMo Jan 2016 #11
I am hoping for a scenario where the caucus is overcrowded with Bernie supporters snoringvoter Jan 2016 #14
we live in hope n/t EdwardBernays Jan 2016 #16
Perfect! tecelote Jan 2016 #4
Winning Iowa, in and of itself, is largely psychological thesquanderer Jan 2016 #5
a huge part of this is about perception and how the media plays it Fast Walker 52 Jan 2016 #7
haha! Fast Walker 52 Jan 2016 #6
In case you haven't seen this yet: FailureToCommunicate Jan 2016 #8
I love it truth to power humbled_opinion Jan 2016 #10
LOL next up humbled_opinion Jan 2016 #9
No no, it's supposed to be GUAM that holds it all. snoringvoter Jan 2016 #15
That was fantastic. CharlotteVale Jan 2016 #12
K&R Ferd Berfel Jan 2016 #13

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
1. Saw a Clinton guy on MSNBC yesterday
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 08:08 AM
Jan 2016

That said if Sanders doesn't definitively win Iowa and New Hampshire it will be a big loss for his campaign.

LOL.

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
11. Yet you have other idiots
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 10:43 AM
Jan 2016

that say if she loses them both, it's still OK. What? How can it be bad for one, but not the other?

Bernie will win them both.

 

snoringvoter

(178 posts)
14. I am hoping for a scenario where the caucus is overcrowded with Bernie supporters
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 10:56 AM
Jan 2016

there is no way for Clinton to win half the delegates she is expected to win. Maybe she'll be given one or two delegates, but Bernie will get the majority of it.


thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
5. Winning Iowa, in and of itself, is largely psychological
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 08:53 AM
Jan 2016

Delegates are awarded proportionaltely. If Hillary loses a close race, she can end up with as many delegates as Bernie, but the press will probably focus on the "upset" and the "huge setback" for Hillary. If Bernie loses a close race, again, the two of them can end up with the same number of delegates, and the press will probably focus on how he "almost pulled it off, but it looks like Hillary remains largely inevitable" - even though the actual results of the two scenarios are identical in terms of the goal of delegates.

I would be surprised to see people from the Hillary camp saying Iowa doesn't matter unless they actually do anticipate the blowout scenario, since the truth is that, apart from the psychology, a narrow loss is as about as good as a narrow win.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
7. a huge part of this is about perception and how the media plays it
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 10:26 AM
Jan 2016

no doubt, it will be fascinating to see what happens

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