Be of good cheer, my children. The Michigan primary is proportional in awarding delegates.

[LongTomH]

Even if Hillary wins the state, she won't have an insurmountable lead. If it's close, (Which is likely!) Bernie can claim a victory if he does better than expected.

[Autumn]

1. She'll get Michigan. Not a BFD.

It will get real from here on out.

[corbettkroehler]

2. Right! And Ohio?

Thanks for the pep talk. The significant endorsements which Bernie has garnered in Michigan are likely to keep Michigan's results tight. Do you happen to know whether Ohio also awards proportionally?

[kath]

5. All of the Dem primaries use proportional allocation of delegates. Only the Repubs have some winner-

-take-all primaries.

[Herman4747]

11. Yeah, we're Democrats, so we believe in FAIRNESS.

The others? Not so much.

[eomer]

6. I believe all states are proportional in the Democratic primary.

Republican Party has some winner-take-all states in their primary but the Democratic Party doesn't.

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

7. Ohio worries me simply based on the polls.

Hillary is still polling too well there and in several other states. He needs to be chipping away at her pledged delegate lead, and I haven't seen much of that happening. If it doesn't start soon, I don't see how he can do it, even in his most friendly states.

[SheenaR]

3. I don't completely disagree

But to get where we want to be, close losses can't happen anymore.

Illinios looks at a loss today and nothing changes there. A win? Bernie is taken more seriously. Then Ohio follows suit.

If we are in it to win, he really needs to win today or literally tie. And if he ties, we will need a media push from it.

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

8. Yup.

The pledged delegate difference needs to start dropping, not still growing.

[CoffeeCat]

4. This guy says Bernie will win Michigan

https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/08/michigan-mississippi-democratic-primary-projections/

t’s a bit unsettling to go against the grain with this forecast. As far as I know, every outlet is projecting a Clinton win tomorrow in both Michigan and Mississippi.

The Sanders campaign must be doing something remarkable in Michigan right now, because the upswing in Sanders popularity among my data sources is undeniable. I am seeing levels of interest in Bernie Sanders in Michigan similar to that of Colorado, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska. This, along with Michigan’s relatively normal demographic makeup, leads me to personally believe that he does have a chance. It leads my model to estimate that he will win there. Hillary leads every conventional poll, however, which makes me skeptical of these numbers.

Bernie Sanders will be lucky to get above 20% in Mississippi, but I do believe that if he doesn’t win Michigan, the final results will be very close. Here are the numbers:

(click on link to see numbers: https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/08/michigan-mississippi-democratic-primary-projections/ )

My official prediction is that Bernie will win Michigan and Hillary will win Mississippi, but in reality Michigan is too close to call with a mathematical model. Elections culminate in a single number after the movement of hundreds or thousands of variables, and as statisticians we can only select a few of those and hope that we account for as much variance as possible. Given the outcome of all the other elections so far this season, the positions of those variables right now in Michigan seem to indicate that a massive upset will happen tomorrow night.

[yourpaljoey]

10. You are one hip cat!

[lasttrip]

9. GOTV!

Phonebank for Michigan

Phonebank for Mississippi

Facebank

Voter Information: vote.berniesanders.com/MI

Find your polling location:

Michigan: https://vote.michigan.gov/MVIC/
Mississippi: http://www.sos.ms.gov/pollingplace/pages/default.aspx

Peace.
LT