Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumAbout the Des Moines Register and Loris polls.
The first has Bernie behind by only 7%, the second has Bernie behind by 25%. So, anyone an expert on reading poll numbers, sampling, etc., and interpreting why the hell there is an 18 percentage-point difference between the two polls?
I mean, 4 points, 8 points, I can almost get, but 15? I'm confused.
still_one
(92,116 posts)Personally, I would not assume anything from the polls at this point in time, and just continue to work for your candidate
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)(400 years ago when I was in college I aced Statistics), I was just hoping we had a mathematician or statistician in the group who might be able to break down the numbers.
HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)to make meaningful comparisons across the stratifications they wanted to talk about.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Loras College has only been polling for two years...started in the spring of 2014
poorly rated poll, according to this.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/05/31/1388543/-The-most-accurate-pollsters-of-2014-and-why-that-title-quite-frankly-doesn-t-mean-very-much
jwirr
(39,215 posts)been the main paper all over Iowa for decades. There is a reason they are trusted. They are good.
As to the Loras College. I have never even heard of the college before.
Response to Le Taz Hot (Original post)
AtomicKitten This message was self-deleted by its author.
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)I looked closer and, of course, Hillary would have an advantage for "likely Democratic caucus attendees." I think that may be part of it.
hootinholler
(26,449 posts)Thanks.