Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Catherina

(35,568 posts)
Mon Oct 5, 2015, 10:44 PM Oct 2015

10 reasons Dem superdelegates will choose Sanders over Clinton

October 05, 2015, 06:00 am
10 reasons Dem superdelegates will choose Sanders over Clinton

By H.A. Goodman, contributor



Superdelegates are people, too, and as Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) explained at a recent Democratic National Committee (DNC) meeting, they're already shifting away from Hillary Clinton and toward Sanders. They watch the news, follow polling trends and they'll side with Sanders for the same reasons that he's surged to only 7 percentage points behind Clinton. In August, writing for Bloomberg, Mark Halperin and Jennifer Epstein offered a quick breakdown of delegates and superdelegates within the Democratic Party and explained that Clinton had "secured" a great percentage of these party officials:

Final numbers are still in flux, but current estimates peg the total number of delegates to next summer's presidential nominating convention at about 4,491, meaning that a candidate would need 2,246 to win. The Clinton camp's claim to more than 440 delegates means she's already wrapped up the support of more than 60 percent of the approximately 713 superdelegates who, under party rules, are among those who cast votes for the nomination, along with delegates selected by rank-and-file voters in primaries and caucuses beginning next February.

Since their only goal is electing a candidate capable of winning the White House, it's highly doubtful Clinton's alleged 60 percent support among superdelegates will remain until the end of the primaries. Like his surge in the polls and the Clinton campaign's continued decline, superdelegates will flock to Sanders for a number of reasons.

1. Polling trajectory and other factors show that Sanders is now the front-runner.

...

2. Democratic superdelegates know that the Democratic Party has experienced a paradigm shift toward Sanders and away from Clinton.

...

3. Superdelegates want to win.

...

4. Superdelegates who've publicly supported Clinton have no obligation to honor their pledge.

...

5. Sanders is ahead in Iowa and New Hampshire.

...

6. Most Americans don't trust Clinton.

...

7. Swing states don't trust Clinton.

...

8. There are a great number of progressives around the country who will only vote for Sanders and would rather sit out an election, or write in Sanders, rather than vote for Clinton.

...

9. Biden's theoretical entrance into the race is yet another reason why Clinton's campaign isn't viable.

...

10. Superdelegates will be remembered for their vote.

...

While Hillary Clinton has to be defended against scandals and dodged questions, Bernie Sanders has energized the Democratic base and Democratic Party delegates fear the possibility of a mutiny on Election Day if they ignore reality. The reality is that only one candidate is tied to an FBI investigation, while nobody in the country questions the honesty and integrity of Sanders. His message and the manner in which he has energized Democrats will enable Bernie Sanders to win all the delegates needed to secure the Democratic nomination.

http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/10-reasons-delegates-will-choose-bernie-sanders-over-hillary-clinton
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
10 reasons Dem superdelegates will choose Sanders over Clinton (Original Post) Catherina Oct 2015 OP
I do not think HRC is in for the long haul this time SandersDem Oct 2015 #1
Post removed Post removed Oct 2015 #2
/\_/\_This_/\_/\ Scuba Oct 2015 #3
THAT /\ Vincardog Oct 2015 #6
Trust... SoapBox Oct 2015 #4
Kicked and recommended! Enthusiast Oct 2015 #5

SandersDem

(592 posts)
1. I do not think HRC is in for the long haul this time
Mon Oct 5, 2015, 10:56 PM
Oct 2015

personal opinion, but I think if she loses in SC, especially if Biden is in the race, she will begin to lose large donor support and drop out. Maybe not immediately, but if Super Tuesday goes bad...

We are rapidly seeing this shift from no way could Bernie win, to his actually stacking up BETTER against the Republican candidate than HRC. Progress. In the end the super delegates will be there for Bernie, it's just a matter of who comes over earliest.

Response to Catherina (Original post)

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Bernie Sanders»10 reasons Dem superdeleg...