So I gotta know.....

[SmittynMo]

Last edited Tue Jan 12, 2016, 09:39 PM - Edit history (1)

WTF just happened over the past 5 days?

Last Friday, Bernie is +4 in NH and -4 in IA.
Monday, Bernie is +7 in NH, -3 in IA.
By midday today, Bernie is +14 in NH and +5 in IA.

So WTF happened over a 5 day span to make numbers flop like this?

Then Moveon.org shows their poll with Bernie at 78%. (corrected)

Then Biden kinda slips up and kinda indicates he's for Bernie.

Now the HRC clan is freaking out over this. They're extremely nervous.

One would think that something must have happened this past weekend. But what? Has anyone figured this out yet? I mean, for numbers to change this drastic, in such a short period of time, something must have happened. Right?

[Melissa G]

1. Undeniable Bernie Momentum!!! n/t

[SmittynMo]

4. No doubt it's momentum

but typically, to get momentum, something has to occur to get it going. I'm not complaining, I'm just very curious as to what the hell is going on. All I can say at this point is, it's about time people figured him out.

[thereismore]

2. Did pollsters started sampling likely caucus goers as opposed to "likely voters" or some such?

[tecelote]

3. Families got together over the Holidays and talked about Sanders.

We've all been saying, he only needs exposure.

Now that he's getting it, watch his number go skyward.

[n2doc]

5. HRC started aggressively going negative on Sanders

My feeling is that, the more negative she goes, the more it reminds voters of the bad campaigns of the past. People are sick and tired of it. Fear and Anger are best left to the Repubs….

[TBF]

6. One thing that happened is that Little Debbie is being primaried -

maybe she doesn't want to lose her precious position and has decided to let the chips fall where they may (ie not protect Hillary anymore if it means she risks getting booted out).

Real numbers are being released now.

[Bjornsdotter]

7. Some thoughts

I've always thought that Bernie's numbers were a bit higher than being reported.

[OffWithTheirHeads]

8. I think it's the fact that the media can no longer ignore him and

The more people learn about him, the more they like him. MSNBfox just spent an entire segment on him and Chelsea's lies. I was amazed! When he wins the first two primaries he's going to explode. They will have to start reporting on him and Katie bar the doors! My hairdresser still has no idea who he is. That is going to change this week.

[Warpy]

9. It could be a glitch

Anomalous results could have been caused by gremlins or just pure chance. Polling methods could have changed. Questions can be asked in different ways. There are many variables that could account for this.

Just expect the media to rename him Socialistbernie Sanders.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

10. A number of factors

it is fantastic DFA and Moveon are working with us. Interesting how Trump was in Vermont a few days ago...

[SmittynMo]

12. Interesting concept

Trump in Vermont? I think I need to research this. I like the way you think.

[Paulie]

11. It's the new year

Holidays are over and actual voting is upon us. Bernie has also been barnstorming Iowa these past couple weeks.

[Eric J in MN]

13. Bernie Sanders won MoveOn's endorsment with 78%. NT

NT

[Eric J in MN]

14. The different numbers are because different pollsters

...make different guesses about who is a "likely voter" in a primary.

It's difficult to guess if someone will show up at a primary.